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Cesar Arzamendia vs. Damien Brown UFC 201 Pick, Preview, Odds, Prediction - 7/30/16

Brown vs. Arzamendia

UFC: Saturday, July 30, 2016 (Philips Arena)

The Line -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds

TV: PPV

Cesar Arzamendia and Damien Brown fight Saturday night on UFC 201 at the Philips Arena.

Cesar Arzamendia enters this fight with a 7-3 record and has won 57 percent of his fights by submission. Arzamendia has split his last split four fights and is coming off a November loss to Marco Polo Reyes. Arzamendia is averaging 4.32 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy percentage of 34.7 percent. Arzamendia is averaging 12.16 takedowns with an accuracy percentage of 75 percent. Arzamendia hopes to redeem himself after getting knocked out in the first round of his UFC debut. Arzamendia isn’t much of a striker at all, as he’s most effective on the canvas and his last three victories have come by submission. Arzamendia wants to go for the takedowns early and often to put his quickness and athleticism to good use.

Cesar Arzamendia vs. Damien Brown UFC 201 Pick, Preview, Odds, Prediction - 7/30/16

USA TODAY Sports

Damien Brown enters this fight with a 15-9 record and has won 53 percent of his fights by submission. Brown has won five of his last six fights and is coming off a March loss to Alan Patrick Silva Alves. Brown is averaging one significant strikes per minute with an accuracy percentage of 60 percent. Brown is averaging one takedowns with an accuracy percentage of 33.3 percent. Brown also looks for a bounce back performance after losing his UFC debut by unanimous decision. Brown is what he is at 31 years old, as he’s a wrestler at heart and likes to grind things out, resulting in either a decision or a submission. Brown has shown he can be an effective striker at times, but he’s not aggressive enough. Four of Brown’s last six victories have come by submission.

It’s hard to judge either one of these guys based on their very limited time on the UFC level. As of right now, I think Arzamendia is the better overall fighter and has the quickness to give Brown issues on takedown attempts and in the clinch. However, this fight could go either way with both guys not being much of a striker and wanting a fight on the mat.

If forced to pick, I’d side with Arzamendia simply due to his quickness, youth and athleticism.

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Cesar Arzamendia

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