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Francisco Rivera vs. Erik Perez UFC 201 Pick, Preview, Odds, Prediction - 7/30/16

Perez vs. Rivera

UFC: Saturday, July 30, 2016 (Philips Arena)

The Line -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds

TV: PPV

Francisco Rivera and Erik Perez fight Saturday night on UFC 201 at the Philips Arena.

Francisco Rivera enters this fight with a 11-6 record and has won 73 percent of his fights by knockout. Rivera has lost four of his last five fights and is coming off a February loss to Brad Pickett. Rivera is averaging 4.14 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy percentage of 42.3 percent. Rivera is averaging 1.19 takedowns with an accuracy percentage of 63.6 percent. Rivera enters this fight in poor form and hopes to avoid a third straight loss for the first time. When in good form, Rivera is a strong and powerful striker who has produced knockouts in six of his last seven victories. Rivera’s weakness is that he’s not a great wrestler and has been submitted twice in his last four fights. This will be Rivera’s first fight in Atlanta.

Francisco Rivera vs. Erik Perez UFC 201 Pick, Preview, Odds, Prediction - 7/30/16

USA TODAY Sports

Erik Perez enters this fight with a 15-6 record and has won 47 percent of his fights by submission. Perez has won six of his last eight fights and is coming off a November win over Taylor Lapilus. Perez is averaging 3.23 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy percentage of 43.3 percent. Perez is averaging 3.48 takedowns with an accuracy percentage of 60.8 percent. Perez continues to impress on the UFC level, as he’s no 5-2 since joining in 2012. Perez is a polished wrestler who is at his best on the canvas, and he’s won six of his last 12 fights by submission. Perez has also never been knocked out in his career, which is noteworthy in a fight like this one against a power striker. This will be Perez’s first fight in Atlanta.

Rivera is simply in lousy form right now and is tough to back if you’re looking to bet on this fight. His only victory in the last two years came against a subpar fighter in Alex Caceres. Rivera is also at a disadvantage here considering Perez is a takedown artist and knows how to finish fights at a high percentage.

Perez has to be the pick here.

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Erik Perez

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