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Robbie Lawler vs. Tyron Woodley UFC 201 Pick, Preview, Odds, Prediction - 7/30/16

Woodley vs. Lawler

UFC: Saturday, July 30, 2016 (Philips Arena)

The Line Woodley +190 / Lawler -230 -- Over/Under: 2.5 See the Latest Odds

TV: PPV

Robbie Lawler and Tyron Woodley fight Saturday night on UFC 201 at the Philips Arena.

Robbie Lawler enters this fight with a 26-10 record and has won 77 percent of his fights by knockout. Lawler has won five straight fights and is coming off a January win over Carlos Condit. Lawler is averaging 3.51 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy percentage of 44.9 percent. Lawler is averaging 0.82 takedowns with an accuracy percentage of 68 percent. Lawler has been on a roll the last couple of years and will defend his belt for the third straight fight. Lawler has earned fight of the night in three of his last four appearances and is coming off a controversial victory in which he probably should have lost. Lawler doesn’t need much of an introduction, as he’s a power striker who has won eight of his last nine fights overall. This will be Lawler’s second fight in Atlanta.

Robbie Lawler vs. Tyron Woodley UFC 201 Pick, Preview, Odds, Prediction - 7/30/16

USA TODAY Sports

Tyron Woodley enters this fight with a 15-3 record and has won 40 percent of his fights by knockout. Woodley has won five of his last seven fights and is coming off a 2015 win over Kelvin Gastelum. Woodley is averaging 2.56 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy percentage of 50.4 percent. Woodley is averaging 1.92 takedowns with an accuracy percentage of 44.1 percent. Woodley hasn’t fought in a year and a half, as his October fight against Johny Hendricks was canceled due to trouble with weight. So, Woodley will either be rusty or fresh for this fight depending on how you like to judge long layoffs. Either way, Woodley is one of the stronger and more accurate strikers in the welterweight division and four of his last five victories have come by knockout. This will be Woodley’s first fight in Atlanta.

I’m not sure what to make of Woodley and his long layoff, but assuming he’s in good form and ready to go, he has the skillset to beat Lawler, a guy who is likely going to allow him to fight in his comfort zone. Besides, Lawler should have lost his last fight against a lesser talented Condit. Also, betters have to be tired of laying heavy juice in main events only for the underdog to leave with the belt.

Woodley has the talent to win this fight and I like the value. Give me The Chosen One to win this fight.

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Tyron Woodley

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