Ian Entwistle vs. Rob Font UFC 204 Pick, Preview, Odds, Prediction - 10/8/16
Font vs. Entwistle
UFC: Saturday, October 8, 2016 (Manchester Arena)
The Line: -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
Ian Entwistle and Rob Font fight late Saturday night during UFC 204 at the Manchester Arena.
Ian Entwistle enters this fight with a 9-3 record and has won 78 percent of his fights by submission. Entwistle has won five of his last seven fights and is coming off a April loss to Alejandro Pérez. Entwistle is averaging 0.11 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy percentage of 7.69 percent. Entwistle is averaging zero takedowns with an accuracy percentage of zero percent. Entwistle needs a statement performance after getting knocked out in two of his UFC fights. Entwistle has a very limited striking attack and needs a fight on the canvas to have the advantage. Entwistle has yet to see a fight go past the first round in his career and he's deadly if he’s able to successfully takedown his opponent. Entwistle has fought much of his career in England, his birthplace.
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Rob Font enters this fight with a 12-2 record and has won 42 percent of his fights by knockout. Font has won five of his last six fights and is coming off a May loss to John Lineker. Font is averaging 3.92 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy percentage of 42.1 percent. Font is averaging 0.57 takedowns with an accuracy percentage of 12.5 percent. Font is coming off his first UFC loss and hopes to avoid back-to-back losses for the first time in his career. While Font hasn't fought a ton of great competition, he’s proven to be a knockout artist and his last three victories have come by the stoppage. Font has the power to end a fight at any moment and his only losses of his career have ended in decisions. This will be Font’s first fight in England and second outside of the United States.
This will be a fun fight considering Entwistle wants to get the fight to the canvas and Font wants a fight standing up where he can work his striking attack. The concern with me is that Entwistle isn’t effective when he’s not working the takedown and two of his three losses have come by knockout. Font also has a seven inch reach advantage over Entwistle, which could be the tipping point in the fight. This is a very dangerous fight for the home favorite.
I like Font winning this fight given the striking power and reach advantage.