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Ovince Saint Preux vs. Jimi Manuwa UFC 204 Pick, Preview, Odds, Prediction - 10/8/16

UFC: Saturday, October 8, 2016 (Manchester Arena)

The Line: Manuwa +135 / OSP -155 -- Over/Under: 1.5 See the Latest Odds

TV: PPV

Ovince Saint Preux and Jimi Manuwa fight late Saturday night during UFC 204 at the Manchester Arena.

Ovince Saint Preux enters this fight with a 19-8 record and has won 53 percent of his fights by knockout. OSP has split his last six fights and is coming off a April loss to Jon Jones. Saint Preux is averaging 2.62 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy percentage of 48.5 percent. Saint Preux is averaging 1.27 takedowns with an accuracy percentage of 53.5 percent. Saint Preux is trying to build himself back up after losing two of his last three fights to top tier opponents and has lost two straight since 2009. Saint Preux may have shown some chinks in the armour recently, but he’s still a guy who has ended eight of his last nine victories. OSP has the power and strength combo to give anybody a problem and ca non to be overlooked despite his recent results. This will be OSP’s first fight in England.

Ovince Saint Preux vs. Jimi Manuwa UFC 204 Pick, Preview, Odds, Prediction - 10/8/16

USA TODAY Sports

Jimi Manuwa enters this fight with a 15-2 record and has won 87 percent of his fights by knockout. Manuwa has lost two of his last three fights and is coming off a 2015 loss to Anthony Johnson. Manuwa is averaging 3.56 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy percentage of 58.2 percent. Manuwa is averaging 0.87 takedowns with an accuracy percentage of 33.3 percent. Manuwa has had a ton of time to prepare of this fight as he’s been out of the octagon for just over a year and his Feb fight with Nikita Krylov was cancelled due to injury. Manuwa likely needed to recharge the batteries after being knocked out twice in his last three tries. The good news for Manuwa is that he’s one of the more stronger and accurate strikers in the sport and always as a shot when standing up. This will be Manuwa’s 16th fight in England.

I’m a big supporter of Saint Preux and we’ve backed him quite a bit over the years. But there’s terrific value with Manuwa and the plus money. Manuwa has had a lot of time off to prepare for this fight and is a knockout machine who could overwhelm OSP if both of these guys want the fight standing up. I’m not sure how you can give Saint Preux the advantage in that case.

I like Manuwa to win this in somewhat of an upset.

Jimi Manuwa

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