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Vitor Belfort vs. Gegard Mousasi UFC 204 Pick, Preview, Odds, Prediction - 10/8/16

UFC: Saturday, October 8, 2016 (Manchester Arena)

The Line: Mousasi -330 / Belfort +270 -- Over/Under: 1.5 See the Latest Odds

TV: PPV

Vitor Belfort and Gegard Mousasi fight late Saturday night during UFC 204 at the Manchester Arena.

Vitor Belfort enters this fight with a 25-12 record and has won 72 percent of his fights by knockout. Belfort has won four of his last six fights and is coming off a May loss to Ronaldo Souza. Belfort is averaging 1.57 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy percentage of 48 percent. Belfort is averaging 1.2 takedowns with an accuracy percentage of 60 percent. Belfort is sure to provide entertainment considering his last six fights have ended in knockout for better or worse. Belfort has terrific power in his strikes and usually always has the advantage when standing up given his accuracy. The concern with Belfort is that he is up there in age at 39 years old and isn’t nearly as quick as he once was, making him much easier to hit. This will be Belfort’s fourth fight in England.

Vitor Belfort vs. Gegard Mousasi UFC 204 Pick, Preview, Odds, Prediction - 10/8/16

USA TODAY Sports

Gegard Mousasi enters this fight with a 39-6-2 record and has won 56 percent of his fights by knockout. Mousasi has won four of his last five fights and is coming off a July win over Thiago Santos. Mousasi is averaging 3.56 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy percentage of 50.6 percent. Mousasi is averaging 1.6 takedowns with an accuracy percentage of 65.8 percent. Three of Mousasi’s six career losses have come within the last two years, but he enters this fight in rather good form. Mousasi usually does a great job of controlling the fight, as he’s a terrific defender in terms of strikes and takedowns. It’s tough to push Mousasi around in the octagon, and he can beat you either by knockout or submission. This will be Mousasi’s third fight in England.

Belfort hasn’t lost back-to-back fights since 2005, but he’s not exactly a spring chicken any more and is prone to getting knocked out. Mousasi is the more accurate striker and the more balanced fighter who can take Belfort out of his comfort zone and really take control of this fight. This feels like a bad matchup for Belfort who has just three career victories by submission.

Give me Mousasi to win this fight.

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Gegard Mousasi

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