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Cole Miller vs. Mizuto Hirota UFC Fight Night 97 Pick, Preview, Odds, Prediction - 10/15/16

Hirota vs. Miller

UFC: Saturday, October 15, 2016 (Mall of Asia Arena)

The Line: -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds

TV: UFC Fight Pass

Cole Miller and Mizuto Hirota fight Saturday during UFC Fight Night 97 at the Mall of Asia Arena.

Cole Miller enters this fight with a 21-10 record and has won 71 percent of his fights by submission. Miller has lost six of his last 10 fights and is coming off a June loss to Alex Caceres. Miller is averaging 3.13 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy percentage of 33.2 percent. Miller is averaging 0.64 takedowns with an accuracy percentage of 36.3 percent. Miller has been a complete mess as of late and that 2014 submission win over Sam Sicilia feels like a lifetime ago. Now, the good news is that eight of Miller’s 10 career losses have come by decision and he still has the advantage over most people when the fight goes to the canvas. The problem, however, continues to be Miller struggling when he’s not ending a fight with a choke. This will be Miller’s first fight in the Philippines.

Cole Miller vs. Mizuto Hirota UFC Fight Night 97 Pick, Preview, Odds, Prediction - 10/15/16

USA TODAY Sports

Mizuto Hirota enters this fight with a 18-7-2 record and has won 56 percent of his fights by knockout. Hirota has split his last six fights and is coming off a 2015 draw against Teruto Ishihara. Hirota is averaging 3.41 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy percentage of 44 percent. Hirota is averaging 1.22 takedowns with an accuracy percentage of 55.5 percent. Hirota has also been a mixed bag as of late, but his last loss came to Rodrigo Damm back in 2013. Hirota is still in great shape at 35 years old and can win with his underrated striking attack or his aggressive and effective takedown ability. Hirota has yet to get a submission victory under his belt but he shouldn’t be underestimated in that department. This will be Hirota’s first fight in the Philippines.  

It’s hard to trust Miller given the way his last several fights have played out and he doesn’t get much done if he’s not finding a way to make his opponent submit. Hirota is polished enough in his ground game to stay out of Miller’s tricks, and he has the striking attack to take him out of his comfort zone. This seems like a bad matchup for Miller.

I like Hirota to get the job done and get the victory here.

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Mizuto Hirota

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