Ricardo Lamas vs. B.J. Penn UFC Fight Night 97 Pick, Preview, Odds, Prediction - 10/15/16
UFC: Saturday, October 15, 2016 (Mall of Asia Arena)
The Line: Lamas -350 / Penn +290 -- Over/Under: 2.5 See the Latest Odds
TV: UFC Fight Pass
Ricardo Lamas and B.J. Penn fight Saturday during UFC Fight Night 97 at the Mall of Asia Arena.
Ricardo Lamas enters this fight with a 16-5 record and has won 44 percent of his fights by decision. Lamas has split his last six fights and is coming off a June loss to Max Holloway. Lamas is averaging 2.62 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy percentage of 41.8 percent. Lamas is averaging 1.66 takedowns with an accuracy percentage of 30.1 percent. Lamas has been a mixed bag recently with three losses since 2014, but the good news for him is that he’s never lost two straight fights in his career. Lamas is a grinder who simply finds ways to win and five of his last eight fights have ended in decision for better or worse. Lamas would have a big advantage here if he can take the fight to the canvas. This will be Lamas’ first fight in the Philippines.
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B.J. Penn enters this fight with a 16-10-2 record and has won seven of his fights by knockout. Penn has lost his last three fights and is coming off a 2014 loss to Frankie Edgar. Penn is averaging 2.7 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy percentage of 50.1 percent. Penn is averaging 1.31 takedowns with an accuracy percentage of 55 percent. Penn has tried to make a comeback from his retirement for quite some time just to see scheduled flights canceled for various reasons. Penn didn’t look good when he was last in the octagon, as he hasn’t won a fight since 2010. Add the fact Penn hasn’t been in the octagon in more than two years and one could only guess what to expect. When in good form, Penn is an accurate striker with a comfortable attack on the canvas where he can also finish a fight. This will be Penn’s first fight in the Philippines.
I’m not sure how anybody can pick Penn to win this fight considering how long he’s been away from action and the fact he hasn’t won a fight in six years. Lamas also hasn’t lost back-to-back fights in his career and should be ready to go with this being his fourth fight since 2015. Nothing can prepare Penn the way being active can and Lamas has the advantage times 10 in that area. That's good enough for me. Penn still has a lot to show and prove before anybody can take him seriously at this stage.
Give me Lamas to get the big victory and keep that streak of zero back-to-back losses intact.