Rafael dos Anjos vs. Tony Ferguson UFC Fight Night 98 Pick, Preview, Odds, Prediction - 11/5/16
Ferguson vs. dos Anjos
UFC: Saturday, November 5, 2016 (Arena Ciudad de México)
The Line: dos Anjos -145 / Ferguson +125 -- Over/Under: 3.5 See the Latest Odds
Rafael dos Anjos and Tony Ferguson fight Saturday night during UFC Fight Night 98 at the Arena Ciudad de México.
Rafael dos Anjos enters this fight with a 25-8 record and has won 52 percent of his fights by decision. Dos Anjos has won six of his last eight fights and is coming off a July loss to Eddie Alvarez. Dos Anjos is averaging 3.07 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy percentage of 40.8 percent. Dos Anjos is averaging 2.59 takedowns with an accuracy percentage of 44.3 percent. Dos Anjos hopes to bounce back after getting knocked out for the second time in his career and has lost back-to-back fights just once. Dos Anjos remains a highly aggressive striker who has knockout power but is most effective once he gets his opponents the canvas to work his ground and pound. Dos Anjos likes to stay busy and only three of his losses have come by stoppage. This will be Dos Anjos’ first fight in Mexico.
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Tony Ferguson enters this fight with a 22-3 record and has won 50 percent of his fights by knockout. Ferguson has won eight straight fights and is coming off a July win over Lando Vannata. Ferguson is averaging 3.56 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy percentage of 39.8 percent. Ferguson is averaging 0.88 takedowns with an accuracy percentage of 50 percent. Ferguson has been on quite a roll with his last loss coming to Michael Johnson in 2012. Ferguson was more of a knockout artist earlier in his career, but he’s ended four of his last fights by submission and that wrestling background needs to be respected. Even at 32 years old, it’s fair to say Ferguson is currently in the best form of his life. This will be Ferguson’s first fight in Mexico.
This should be a hell of a fight between two guys in great form who are eager to keep their momentum going. Ferguson and the plus money is intriguing considering he hasn’t lost a fight in four years and has been on a submission spree that would give him the advantage if this fight goes to the canvas. However, I give Dos Anjos the advantage overall due to his aggressive offensive attack and his ability to strike his way out of trouble. Dos Anjos likes to push the pace of the fight and that should make Ferguson uncomfortable. Dos Anjos also hasn’t lost back-to-back fights since 2008-09.
Give me Dos Anjos for the victory in what should be an entertaining matchup.