Conor McGregor vs. Eddie Alvarez UFC 205 Pick, Preview, Odds, Prediction - 11/12/16
Alvarez vs. McGregor
UFC: Saturday, November 12, 2016 (Madison Square Garden)
The Line: McGregor -155 / Alvarez +135 -- Over/Under: 1.5 See the Latest Odds
Conor McGregor and Eddie Alvarez fight Saturday night during UFC 205 at Madison Square Garden.
Conor McGregor enters this fight with a 20-3 record and has won 85 percent of his fights by knockout. McGregor has won 10 of his last 11 fights and is coming off a August win over Nate Diaz. McGregor is averaging 6.02 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy percentage of 48.5 percent. McGregor is averaging 1.02 takedowns with an accuracy percentage of 62.5 percent. McGregor got his redemption against Diaz and will now fight for the third time this year. There’s really no surprises with McGregor, as he’s a striker with terrific knockout power and has the advantage against pretty much anyone when standing up. McGregor has won five of his last six fights by knockout and has a five-inch reach advantage in this matchup. This will be McGregor’s first fight in New York.
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Eddie Alvarez enters this fight with a 28-4 record and has won 61 percent of his fights by knockout. Alvarez has won six of his last seven fights and is coming off a July win over Rafael dos Anjos. Alvarez is averaging 3.64 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy percentage of 43.4 percent. Alvarez is averaging 3.9 takedowns with an accuracy percentage of 41 percent. Alvarez is coming off his most impressive victory yet and will defend his Lightweight Championship for the first time. Alvarez has always been a balanced fighter, as he has knockout striking power two go along with an above-average wrestling attack and successful takedown percentage. Alvarez can win in a variety of ways and should have the advantage here if the fight goes to the canvas. This will be Alvarez’s first fight in New York.
Alvarez is a fighter who can hang with McGregor in terms of striking and would have a considerable advantage if he’s successful with his takedowns. However, we all know it just takes one good strike for McGregor to change an entire gameplan. McGregor has been the most consistent fighter over the years and his only recent loss was against Diaz in which he had to make up a serious weight difference on short notice. When McGregor has time to prepare for a fighter and a game plan is established, it’s not wise to bet against him. It’s also not often you get him with these odds.
I’m siding with McGregor to win under the bright lights of New York.