T.J. Dillashaw vs. John Lineker UFC 207 Pick, Preview, Odds, Prediction - 12/30/16
Lineker vs. Dillashaw
UFC: Saturday, December 30, 2016 (T-Mobile Arena)
The Line: Lineker +210 / Dillashaw -250 -- Over/Under: 2.5 See the Latest Odds
T.J. Dillashaw and John Lineker fight Friday night during UFC 207 at the T-Mobile Arena.
T.J. Dillashaw enters this fight with a 14-3 record and has won 43 percent of his fights by knockout. Dillashaw has won five of his last six fights and is coming off a July win over Raphael Assuncao. Dillashaw is averaging 5.44 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy percentage of 40.1 percent. Dillashaw is averaging 1.5 takedowns with an accuracy percentage of 32.6 percent. Dillashaw looked sharp in his bounce back victory during the summer and hopes to win his sixth fight since 2014. Dillashaw really needs no introduction, as he’s one of the more balanced fighters in the world with a strong striking attack and above-average wrestling. Dillashaw also hasn’t lost a clear fight since being knocked out by John Dodsonin 2011. This will be Dillashaw’s fourth fight in Las Vegas.
USA TODAY Sports
John Lineker enters this fight with a 29-7 record and has won 45 percent of his fights by knockout. Lineker has won six straight fights and is coming off an October win over John Dodson. Lineker is averaging 5.3 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy percentage of 38.9 percent. Lineker is averaging 0.58 takedowns with an accuracy percentage of 62.5 percent. Lineker is enjoying his most successful stretch in the UFC and would love to take down one of the top names in the sport. Lineker is most known for his striking power and ability to change fights in an instant, but he does have just one knockout in four of his last five fights. Lineker has shown recently that he’s more than just a striker and can win fights by wrestling and grappling, and he does have a submission victory he earned a year ago. This will be Lineker’s third fight in Las Vegas.
This should be a fun fight between a red hot Lineker and one of the top names in the sport who always shows up in Dillashaw. The difference for me here is the balance and the consistency of Dillashaw. Besides his 2011 knockout loss, Dillashaw hasn’t clearly lost a fight and his wrestling game gives him a massive advantage over the heavy striker Lineker. Unless Lineker lands a vicious strike that ends this thing, which is certainly possible, it’s going to be tough to beat Dillashaw round by round.
I look for Dillashaw to win his second fight of the year.