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Denver Nuggets vs San Antonio Spurs 11/5/22 NBA Pick, Predictions, Odds

San Antonio Spurs (5-4) vs. Denver Nuggets (5-3)
November 5, 2022 9:00 pm EDT
The Line: Denver Nuggets -10.5; Over/Under: +235.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The San Antonio Spurs travel to the Ball Arena in Denver to take on the Nuggets on Saturday night. Tip-off is at 9:00p ET/7:00p MT.

The San Antonio Spurs have been in decent shape as they’ve won five of their first nine games overall, but they will be hoping to avoid a third straight defeat after getting stopped by the Clippers in a 113-106 loss last night. Devin Vassell led the way with 29 points on 12 of 16 shooting off the bench, Tyus Jones added 18 points with six assists while Keldon Johnson chipped in with 16 points, seven rebounds and three assists. As a team, the Spurs shot 47 percent from the field and 12 of 31 from the 3-point line as they exploded for 40 points in the second quarter to overcome an early 17-point deficit and lead by 10 points, but they went ice-cold when it mattered most, scoring just four points in the final 3:39 to allow the Clippers to run them down in the end.

Meanwhile, the Denver Nuggets have been in decent form as they’ve won five of their first eight games overall and they will be looking to stay hot after taking down the Thunder in a 122-110 road win on Thursday. Aaron Gordon led the way with 27 points on 10 of 13 shooting, Jamal Murray added 24 points while Nikola Jokic racked up a triple-double of 15 points with 13 rebounds and 14 assists. As a team, the Nuggets shot 53 percent from the field and an efficient 18 of 31 from the 3-point line as they set the tone with 42 points in the first quarter to build an early 19-point lead, but they squandered the lead and had to hold the Thunder to just 15 points in the fourth quarter to escape with the win.

Looking at the betting trends, the Spurs are 6-1 ATS in their last seven road games, 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games against a team with a winning record and 12-3 ATS in their last 15 games overall. The Nuggets are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 home games and 5-1 ATS in their last six games against a team with a winning record.

Head to head, the under is 8-3 in the last 11 meetings in Denver, the Spurs are 20-9 ATS in the last 29 meetings in Denver and the Spurs are 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings overall.

The Nuggets have been building nicely, they’re slowly getting players back and they just took down the Thunder in a good win, but this line just seems too hefty. The Spurs have cooled off with a couple of losses, but they almost beat the Clippers last night and look like decent value with the points in this matchup. The Nuggets should win this one at home, but the line is just a bit too high here.

Peter Tran's Free Pick: San Antonio +10.5

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Peter Tran

Peter Trans is an acclaimed Expert NBA Handicapper, renowned for his insightful analysis and predictions in the world of professional basketball. With a keen eye for detail and a deep understanding of the game, Peter has established himself as a trusted authority among basketball enthusiasts and bettors alike. His expertise is showcased on SportsChatPlace.com, where he provides in-depth game analyses, betting tips, and forecasts that are both highly informative and remarkably accurate.

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