Denver Nuggets vs. Atlanta Hawks - 11/7/13
Atlanta Hawks (2-2) at Denver Nuggets (0-3)
NBA Basketball: Thursday, November 7, 2013 at 9:00 pm (Pepsi Center)
The Line: Denver Nuggets -3.5 -- Over/Under: 205 See the Latest Odds
The struggling Denver Nuggets look to avoid a fourth straight loss tonight when they host the Atlanta Hawks.
It's been such a tough start for the Nuggets who have played three games without a win, including a 102-94 home loss against the Spurs. Ty Lawson scored 20 points and eight assists to lead the Nuggets, but the game was lost in the fourth quarter where Denver was outscored by 30-16. Kenneth Faried replaced JJ Hickson in the starting lineup and put up 15 points and eight rebounds in 28 minutes, but all the Nuggets really have to do is put together a 48-minute performance because they've been competitive in each of their losses, before falling miserable in the fourth quarters. A healthy squad would be one way of lifting their spirits, but for now they will have to learn to win without Wilson Chandler and Danilo Gallinari.
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Meanwhile, the Hawks haven't exactly been a model of consistency themselves, but they're coming off a nice 105-100 win over the Kings thanks to big performances from their dynamic duo of Paul Millsap and Al Horford who combined for 52 points on 20 of 34 shooting. Jeff Teague also added 18 points and 10 assists but where the Hawks really impressed me was on the defensive end where they restricted the Kings to just 13 points in the second quarter after they poured in 32 in the first. In particular, Horford did a great job of limiting DeMarcus Cousins to just 11 points and six rebounds.
In ATS trends, the Hawks are 1-6 ATS in their last seven road games and 1-7 ATS in their last eight games following a win, while the Nuggets are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games following a loss and 1-8 ATS in their last nine games overall.
Head to head, the Hawks have lost six straight against he Nuggets in Denver and the home team is 8-3 ATS in the last 11 meetings.
The alarm bells must be ringing for the Nuggets so you would expect them to come out firing and snatch their first win of the season against a team they've dominated in the past. However, I'm going to stick with the Hawks who look to be hitting form at this early stage of the season. I'm taking Atlanta with the points in this one.