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Written by Dan on November 8, 2013

Phoenix Suns vs. Denver Nuggets - 11/8/13: Dan's Free NBA Basketball Pick Against the Spread
Photo by: Jennifer Stewart-USA TODAY Sport

The surprising Phoenix Suns return home to face the Denver Nuggets on Friday night from US Airways Center

The surprising Phoenix Suns return home to face the Denver Nuggets on Friday night from US Airways Center.

Head to head, the Nuggets are 7-1-1 ATS in the last 9 meetings and 4-9 ATS in the last 13 meetings in Phoenix while the home team is 19-7-1 ATS in the last 27 meetings and the favorite is 8-3-1 ATS in the last 12 meetings. The Suns are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a S.U. loss, 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 home games and 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The Nuggets on the other hand are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 vs. Western Conference, 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record and 2-12 ATS in their last 14 games overall.

Although they are coming off a loss, the Phoenix Suns continue to be one of the surprise teams in the early going. Expected to finish with the worst record in the Western Conference this season, the Suns have started strong with three wins in their five games and they are unlucky not to have more as both losses to Oklahoma City and San Antonio have been by a combined 10 points. Newly acquired Eric Bledsoe has led the way for this young Phoenix squad with averages of 21 points on 50% shooting and 7.2 assists per game.

With pressure mounting, the Denver Nuggets finally broke through for their first win of the season on Thursday night, defeating the visiting Atlanta Hawks 109-107. Given their tumultuous offseason and three losses coming in their first three games, Brian Shaw and the Nuggets were starting to feel the heat as they were one of only two teams yet to register a win this season. However, that all changed on Thursday night as they managed to hold off a pesky Hawks squad, thanks to an even spread of scorers led by Nate Robinsons 15 points off the bench. Point guard Ty Lawson chimed in on Denver’s first win: "It was weighing on everybody. Coach Shaw, the assistant coaches had speeches for us today," Lawson said. "To get this monkey off our back feels good for everyone."

This might be the start of something good for Denver, but Phoenix is playing really good basketball at the moment. I mean, they hung in there with OKC for three and a half quarters and probably should have beaten San Antonio the other night. I’m not sure how long this will last for the Suns, but they are clearly playing better basketball than the Nuggets at the moment and this seems like a no-brainer if you ask me…

Dan’s Pick: Phoenix M/L

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