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Miami Heat vs. Boston Celtics - 11/9/13

Boston Celtics (1-4) at Miami Heat (4-2)

NBA Basketball: Saturday, November 9, 2013 at 7:30 pm (AmericanAirlines Arena)

The Line: Miami Heat -15.5 -- Over/Under: 192.5 See the Latest Odds

TV:

LeBron James is expected to play tonight when the Miami Heat play host to the Boston Celtics.

The Heat improved to 4-2 on the season on Thursday when they beat the Clippers by 102-97 thanks to a big night from Dwyane Wade who led the team with 29 points seven seven assists. LeBron James added 18 points and six assists but was playing through some stiffness in his lower back which had him as questionable for tonight's game before he notified the team that he would be fit to play. On the defensive end, the Heat once again let their opponent jump out to an early lead and 56 first half points, but regrouped and restricted the Clippers to just 17 points in the third quarter and 41 in the second half. With the win, the Heat remain undefeated at home in three games and 51-6 when Wade scores at least 20 points.

Miami Heat vs. Boston Celtics - 11/9/13

Steve Mitchell-USA TODAY Sports

Meanwhile, the Celtics have bounced back from four straight losses with consecutive wins after taking down the Magic by 91-89 last night. The Celtics had six players finish in double digits in scoring with Brandon Bass leading the way with his team-high 16, but it wasn't the prettiest performance as the C's shot just 35.8 percent from the field including just two from 14 three point attempts. The Celtics actually meet the Magic again on Monday, but they won't have any time to plan for that as they take on the defending champs tonight at Miami.

In ATS trends, the Celtics are 4-1 ATS in their last five road games and 17-8 ATS in their last 25 games following a win, while the Heat are 14-5 ATS in their last 19 games following an ATS loss and 1-4 ATS in their last five games overall.

Head to head, the C's are 11-4 ATS in the last 15 meetings against the Heat but the home team has covered in four of the last five meetings.

I'm sure LeBron will play tonight and be at his usual best, but the bookies have opened with the Heat as big favorites and I can't feel too comfortable laying that many points, even at home. Instead, I'm going to stick with the Celtics to keep this game respectable and earn a backdoor cover in a game that I won't be touching.

Boston +13.5

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