Dallas Mavericks vs. Washington Wizards - 11/12/13
Washington Wizards (2-4) at Dallas Mavericks (4-3)
NBA Basketball: Tuesday, November 12, 2013 at 8:30 pm (American Airlines Center)
The Line: Dallas Mavericks -5 -- Over/Under: 207.5 See the Latest Odds
The Dallas Mavericks return home to face John Wall and the Washington Wizards on Tuesday night from American Airlines Center
Head to head, the Wizards are 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings while the underdog is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings. The Mavericks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games, 11-3 ATS in their last 14 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400 and 21-7 ATS in their last 28 games vs. a team with a losing S.U. record. The Wizards on the other hand are 21-6-1 ATS in their last 28 vs. Western Conference, 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
Having come up short on their first three attempts, the Dallas Mavericks finally got a win away from home as they defeated the Milwaukee Bucks 91-83 on Saturday night to conclude their three-game road trip. Dallas, who is a perfect 3-0 at home, came up emtpy in their first three games away from the Lone Star State, but to be fair, they were all against likely playoff teams this season (Houston, Oklahoma City and Minnesota.) To say the Mavericks have been a better team when playing at home this season would be an understatment as they are averaging a whopping 117.3 points, compared to just 99 per game on the road.
The Washington Wizards have also struggled on the road to start the season, but they looked impressive in Oklahoma City on Sunday night despite coming away with a loss. Thanks to a career-high 34 points from second-year guard Bradley Beal, the Wizards took it right up to Kevin Durant and the Thunder as they lead by as many as 12 points in the fourth quarter. However, they couldn't hold off the home team and Durant sank a three-pointer with 13.6 seconds left to force overtime, where they would eventually come away with a 106-105 victory. Had they have won, it would of been their third-straight win after starting the season with three-straight losses.
As far as picking a side goes, I think this line is spot on because even though the Mavericks have been dominate at home this season, the Wizards have looked sharp in their last three outings and should have really beaten the Thunder in Oklahoma City on Sunday. While 207.5 might seem like a lot for these teams, it's really not when you look at their results this season. As I mentioned before, the Mavs are putting up an average of 117 points at home in their three games thus far and the totals have gone like this: 227, 210 and 227. On the other hand, the Wizards four road games have been averaging a total of 210 per game. I see another high scoring game tonight....
Dan’s Pick: Over 207.5
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Jerome Miron-USA TODAY Sports