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Toronto Raptors vs. Portland Trail Blazers - 11/17/13

Portland Trail Blazers (7-2) at Toronto Raptors (4-6)

NBA Basketball: Sunday, November 17, 2013 at 1:00 pm (Air Canada Centre)

The Line: Toronto Raptors -2.5 -- Over/Under: 194 See the Latest Odds

TV:

The Portland Trail Blazers head to Canada for a day clash with the Raptors on Sunday.

Head to head, the Trail Blazers are 7-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings while the home team is 8-3 ATS in the last 11 meetings and the favorite is 6-0 ATS in the last 6 meetings. The Raptors are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. loss and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall, but just 15-32 ATS in their last 47 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600. The Trial Blazers on the other hand are 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 vs. Eastern Conference, 5-2 ATS in their last 7 road games and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.

In my regular season over/under win total article that I did before the start of the season, the Portland Trail Blazers were my top team to go over their assigned 38.5 wins and they sure look the goods early on as they come into tonight's game with a 7-2 overall record, having won five on the trot. While their potent offensive game has been the main reason for their fast start to the season, their rebounding numbers have also been very high as they rank near the top of the NBA with a rebounding differential of 4.3, have outrebounded opponents by an average of 12 boards during their winning streak.

Meanwhile, the Toronto Raptors are coming off a blowout loss to the visiting Chicago Bulls on Friday night, however, they were playing some of their best baskeball of the season prior to the defeat. Sandwiched in between blowout wins over Utah and Memphis on the road was a double overtime loss in Houston, which really could of gone either way. While the Raptors have talent on the roster, they just have too many one dimensional players who don't really like to pass the ball (I'm looking at you Rudy Gay and DeMar DeRozan.) As a result, Toronto is dead-last in the NBA in assists, dishing out a mere 16.4 per game.
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This line just doesn't look right to me. How are the 4-6 Raptors favored by more than a bucket against the 7-2 Trail Blazers? The only thing I can really think of that Portland is due for a loss and they are playing on the road at 1pm in Canada. If my memory serves me correctly, Toronto usually plays well in this 1pm Sunday time slot. I could totally see everyone pounding the Trail Blazers and then the Raptors coming away with a double-digit victory. Having said that, I'm not game enough to take Toronto as the points look too tempting...


Dan’s Pick: Portland +2.5

Follow me on Twitter @Dan_SCP

Toronto Raptors vs. Portland Trail Blazers - 11/17/13

USA TODAY Sports

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