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Dallas Mavericks vs. Houston Rockets Pick-Odds-Prediction 11/20/13

Houston Rockets (8-4) at Dallas Mavericks (7-4)

NBA Basketball: Wednesday, November 20, 2013 at 9:30 pm (American Airlines Center)

The Line: Dallas Mavericks -3 -- Over/Under: 214.5 See the Latest Odds

TV:

The Houston Rockets head to Dallas on Wednesday to face off against the Mavs.

The Dallas Mavericks are sitting at 7-4 this season, while going a perfect 5-0 at home on the year.  The Mavs, once again this season have one of the best offenses in the league, as Dallas is averaging better than 105 points per game, ranking the Mavs fifth in the league in points scored.  The defense is struggling for the Mavs a bit though, as Dallas is allowing 102.7 points per outing, ranking the Mavs 24th in the league in scoring defense.  Dallas is playing really well right now, winners of four of their last five.  Last time out, the Dallas Mavs beat the Sixers 97-94 in Dallas on Monday.

Dallas Mavericks vs. Houston Rockets Pick-Odds-Prediction 11/20/13

Troy Taormina-USA TODAY Sports

The Houston Rockets are a very solid 8-4 this season, and Houston is playing well away from home as well, going 3-2 on the road this season.  The Rockets are one of the few teams in the league that can run with Dallas’s offense, as the Rockets are scoring an average of 108.8 per game.  Like the Mavs however, the Rockets are struggling on the defensive end of the court this season, ranking 27th in the league, allowing 104.5 points per outing.  The Rockets come into this game with the Mavs having won three in a row, with their latest win coming on Tuesday against the Celtics in Houston.

The Houston Rockets are 6-5 against the spread this season, and when the total has been greater, or equal to 210, the Rockets are just 1-3 on the year.  Houston is also in the black on the road, where the Rockets are 3-2 ATS this year.  When Houston is playing against a team with a winning record, the Rockets are 2-1 against the spread.

The Dallas Mavericks are 7-4 against the spread this season, and when the total is greater to or equal to 210, the Mavs are 1-3 against the number.  When the Mavs are listed as a favorite, Dallas is a very solid 6-1 against the spread on the year.

My strongest play here will be on the total, which I posted in the new sportschatplace app.

For my free pick here on the site, I’ll be taking Dallas.  I question just how fresh Houston’s legs will be, playing on back to back nights, and when playing an offense like the Mavs, and you better bring your defense with you.

Houston will keep it close for awhile, but look for the Mavs to pull away late, getting another win at home this season.

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Dallas -3

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