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Portland Trail Blazers vs. Oklahoma City Thunder - 12/4/13

Oklahoma City Thunder (12-3) at Portland Trail Blazers (15-3)

NBA Basketball: Wednesday, December 4, 2013 at 10:00 pm (Rose Garden)

The Line: Portland Trail Blazers -2 -- Over/Under: 205 See the Latest Odds

TV:

Two heavyweights collide on Wednesday night as the Portland Trail Blazers welcome Kevin Durant the Oklahoma City Thunder to town

Head to head, the Thunder are 6-0-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings and 3-0-1 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Portland while the favorite is 6-0-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings. The Trail Blazers are 10-4-2 ATS in their last 16 vs. NBA Northwest and 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games overall, but just 1-5 ATS in their last 6 gamers vs. a team with a winning % above .600. The Thunder on the other hand are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 0 days rest and 4-2 ATS in their last 6 games overall, but just 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

Portland Trail Blazers vs. Oklahoma City Thunder - 12/4/13

Steve Dykes-USA TODAY Sports

Before I get started, what a horrible night Tuesday was for me. Not only did I miss out on the Bucks and 76ers cover by a point each, but I then found out DeMarcus Cousins was out of the Sacramento line-up, thus essentially ruining the over 203, which was my premium pick. On top of that, I also had a large sum of money invested on the Thunder v Sacramento first quarter over 51 and of course it happened to land on 50. I love the NBA sometimes.

In any event, let’s take a look at tonight’s showdown between two of the premier teams in the league in Portland and Oklahoma City. Both teams boast two of the better records in the NBA, but that’s not exactly the case when it comes to covering the spread as the Thunder have split their 16 games thus far while the Trail Blazers have gone 13-5 on the short season. When looking further into OKC’s results, it easy to see why they are just 8-8 against the spread because they have played in a lot of close games this season, including last night’s 97-95 win over a DeMarcus Cousins-less Kings squad.

One thing that really stuck out to me was the fact that the Thunder haven’t really performed well away from home, especially against the better teams in the league. They have played three games against teams with above .500 records (Minnesota, Los Angeles Clippers and Golden State) and lost them all. Granted, the game in Minnesota was without Russell Westbrook and that Warriors loss was on a last-second jumper by Andre Iguodala. On the flipside, the Trail Blazers are 7-1 at the Rose Garden this season and are coming off a 106-102 victory over the league-leading Indiana Pacers on Monday night.

OKC are always a tough out, but Portland is just on a roll at the moment and they look nearly unbeatable at the Rose Garden these days. While Durant and Westbrook are the two best players on the court, the Trail Blazers are deeper and they have a pretty good two man game going themselves with LaMarcus Aldridge and Damien Lillard. This should be a great game, but I see the home team coming away with the close win...

Dan’s Pick: Portland -2

Follow me on Twitter @Dan_SCP

 

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