Miami Heat (11-6) vs. Detroit Pistons (4-12)
November 23, 2021 7:00 pm EDT
The Line: Detroit Pistons +9.5; Over/Under: -205.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Miami Heat and Detroit Pistons meet Tuesday in NBA action at the Little Caesars Arena. The Miami Heat look for a win after splitting their last eight games. The Detroit Pistons need a win after losing eight of their last 11 games.
The Miami Heat are averaging 102.4 points on 43.3 percent shooting and allowing 102.3 points on 43 percent shooting. Jimmy Butler is averaging 25.1 points and 5.4 assists, while Tyler Herro is averaging 21.6 points and 5.5 rebounds. Bam Adebayo is the third double-digit scorer and Kyle Lowry is grabbing 4.9 rebounds. The Miami Heat are shooting 34.8 percent from beyond the arc and 82.5 percent from the free throw line. The Miami Heat are allowing 33.3 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 46.9 rebounds per game.
The Detroit Pistons are averaging 99.6 points on 41 percent shooting and allowing 108.3 points on 48.1 percent shooting. Jerami Grant is averaging 19.3 points and 4.3 rebounds, while Cade Cunningham is averaging 14.1 points and 4.6 assists. Saddiq Bey is the third double-digit scorer and Kelly Olynyk is grabbing 5.3 rebounds. The Detroit Pistons are shooting 30.1 percent from beyond the arc and 77.1 percent from the free throw line. The Detroit Pistons are allowing 39.3 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 41.7 rebounds per game.
The Heat are 13-5-1 ATS in their last 19 games as a favorite and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall. The Pistons are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 home games and 6-14 ATS in their last 20 games as an underdog. The over is 7-2 in Heat last 9 overall. The over is 4-1 in Pistons last 5 overall. The Heat are 3-1-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
The Miami Heat are winning their last five games by an average of 9.2 points, while the Pistons lose in the underdog role by an average of 9.7 points. The Heat are 6-2 against the spread when favorites of five or more points. I just have little confidence in the Pistons’ ability to cover numbers or hang around with good teams. The Heat should win comfortably here, assuming they don’t overlook things.
