Memphis Grizzlies vs. Minnesota Timberwolves - 12/15/13
Minnesota Timberwolves (11-12) at Memphis Grizzlies (10-12)
NBA Basketball: Sunday, December 15, 2013 at 6:00 pm (FedExForum)
The Line: Memphis Grizzlies +3 -- Over/Under: 196.5 See the Latest Odds
The Memphis Grizzlies play host to the Minnesota Timberwolves on Sunday night from FedExForum.
Head to head, the Timberwolves are 2-9 ATS in the last 11 meetings and 1-7 ATS in the last 8 meetings in Memphis while the home team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings and the favorite is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings. The Grizzlies are 3-12 ATS in their last 15 home games, 0-4 ATS in their last 4 vs. Western Conference and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The Timberwolves on the other hand are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing home record and 17-7-1 ATS in their last 25 games following a S.U. loss, but just 2-5 ATS in their last 7 vs. Western Conference.
I don't know about you, but I can't split these two teams tonight. The Memphis Grizzlies have won 11 straight over the Minnesota Timberwolves, but this is clearly a different Memphis squad from seasons past and they have only won five of their opening 13 home games. It gets worse though as they have lost three of four at FedExForum by an average of 20.6 points per game. As far as Minnesota is concerned, I simply don't trust them away from home. They do have recent road wins in Dallas and Detroit, but they are far too inconsistent to warant to be favorites against a slumping, yet solid Grizzlies outfit.
Memphis is one of the worst offensive teams in the league, that's no secret, but they have been better lately as they have averaged 97 points over their last three. They have struggled on the defensive end this past week, allowing opponents to score over 100 point in four of their last five. The Timberwolves are involved in high scoring games on a nightly basis as they have gone over 205 total points in six of their last seven and their last three road games all finished above 215.
I'm not sure this is a game I would bet money on, but my gut tells me this one is going over...
Dan’s Pick: Over 196.5
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Soobum Im-USA TODAY Sports