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Miami Heat vs. Golden State Warriors - 1/2/14

Golden State Warriors (20-13) at Miami Heat (24-7)

NBA Basketball: Thursday, January 2, 2014 at 7:30 pm (AmericanAirlines Arena)

The Line: Miami Heat -4.5 -- Over/Under: 204.5 See the Latest Odds

TV:

Lebron James and the Miami Heat collide with Stephen Curry and the Golden State Warriors on Thursday night from South Beach.

Head to head, the Warriors are 4-0-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Miami while the underdog is 6-2-1 ATS in the last 9 meetings and the road team is 12-3-2 ATS in the last 17 meetings. The Heat are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600, 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The Warriors on the other hand are 11-4-1 ATS in their last 16 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600 and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 vs. Eastern Conference, but just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU win of more than 10 points.

While the Miami Heat and Golden State Warriors have had some pretty low scoring encounters lately, I think that all changes tonight. It's no surprise that the over is a perfect 7-0 in Miami's last seven home games looking at their recent results. The average total points scored over those seven contests was 212 per game and the Heat themselves have been on fire as they have scored 114 points or greater in four of their last five at home.

As far was the Warriors are concerned, the only netted 94 points in a comfortable victory in Orlando on Tuesday night, but that was only because the game was virtually over at half time given that Golden State led by 23 at the major break. The Warriors poured in after two quarters 58 and could of kept up that pace if they needed too. In their previous three contests, they had averaged 109 per game and have now gone over 100 points in eight of their last 10 overall.

Now Golden State has only averaged 86 points in their previous two encounters with Lebron James and company, however, Stephen Curry only had nine points in one meeting last season and then missed the other through injury, when they only scored 75 total points. Six of their previous eight meetings went over the total and all those six went over 215 points.

There are some injury concerns for Miami here, but they shown over the years it doesn't really matter who plays as long as Lebron James and one of either Bosh or Wade is playing. Golden State is no stranger to a shoot-out and that's exactly what I think this game will be. Look for plenty of three's attempted and made tonight in what should be an entertaining battle...

Dan’s Pick: Over 204.5

Follow me on Twitter @Dan_SCP

Miami Heat vs. Golden State Warriors - 1/2/14

Steve Mitchell-USA TODAY Sports

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