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Los Angeles Clippers vs. Dallas Mavericks - 1/15/14

Dallas Mavericks (23-16) at Los Angeles Clippers (26-13)

NBA Basketball: Wednesday, January 15, 2014 at 10:30 pm (STAPLES Center)

The Line: Los Angeles Clippers -5 -- Over/Under: 207 See the Latest Odds


The Los Angeles Clippers square off against the Dallas Mavericks on Wednesday night from STAPLES Center.

Head to head, the Mavericks are 10-4 ATS in the last 14 meetings and 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings in Los Angeles while favorite is 10-4 ATS in the last 14 meetings. The Clippers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a SU win or more than 10 points and 9-4 ATS in their last 13 vs. Western Conference, but just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 3 or more days rest. The Mavericks on the other hand are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600, 24-9 ATS in their last 33 road games vs. a team with a winning home record and 36-15 ATS in their last 51 road games.

Los Angeles Clippers vs. Dallas Mavericks - 1/15/14

Kirby Lee-USA TODAY Sports

I have to admit, I like Dallas getting five points and the over 207 just about the same. So, instead of flipping back and forth between the two and choosing which was is my official pick, I will write two paragraphs on why I like both. I will still pick one the end, but you get the idea.

Dallas +5: The Los Angeles Clippers have actually been really good since losing Chris Paul to injury, winning three of four by an average of 20.6 points. Paul was actually injured the last time these two met at the start of the month and it was LA who cruised to a 119-112 victory, despite playing in Dallas and being without Paul for the majority of the second half. So why do I like the Mavs? For one, their against the spread stats on the road are really strong across the board and they have won five of six away from home straight up, which includes wins in Houston, Chicago and Minnesota. Plus, the Clippers have played a really easy schedule of late, playing at home against the Magic, Celtics and Lakers.

Over 207: In their recent meeting back at the start of the month, defense wasn’t really a factor as the game ended on a lazy 231 total points. You would of thought that the Clippers offense would of take a big hit with Paul going down, but Darren Collison is one of the better backup point guards in the league and they have actually averaged 106.7 points over their last four games and have scored over 210 points in four of their last six overall. Meanwhile, the Mavs have scored 107 points or greater in three straight games and five of their last seven overall.

Dan’s Pick: Over 207

Follow me on Twitter @Dan_SCP


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