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Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Utah Jazz - 1/18/14

Utah Jazz (13-27) at Minnesota Timberwolves (18-20)

NBA Basketball: Saturday, January 18, 2014 at 8:00 pm (Target Center)

The Line: Minnesota Timberwolves -11 -- Over/Under: 207 See the Latest Odds


The Minnesota Timberwolves hope to avoid their fourth straight loss tonight against the visiting Utah Jazz.

Head to head, the Jazz are 7-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings while the home team is 9-4 ATS in the last 13 meetings and the favorite is 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings. The Timberwolves are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a losing S.U. record and 13-5-1 ATS in their last 19 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400, but just 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games playing on 0 days rest. The Jazz on the other hand are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. Western Conference and 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall, but just 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a losing S.U. record.

You are like me? Are you just waiting for this talented Minnesota Timberwolves squad to turn things around? But then you second guess yourself after every close loss, which seems to be happening a lot these days. It didn't qualify because the Timberwolves lost in Toronto by five on Wednesday night, but Minnesota is now 0-11 in game decided by four points or less this season. For whatever reason, they just can't seem to close out any game that goes down to the final minute and if they don't turn things around soon, they can kiss the playoffs and Kevin Love in a couple of years good bye.

One thing the Timberwolves haven't struggled with this season has been their offense as they have consistently put up big numbers on that side of the ball. While Minnesota managed just 89 points in Toronto last night and 86 in a recent visit to San Antonio, they have still averaged 112 points in previous nine games. The Timberwolves have been especially potent at home in the New Year, averaging 113 points in their last five at Target Center. Meanwhile, the Utah Jazz have quietly been on a nice run offensive of late, averaging 109 points per game over their last five contests.

Normally I wouldn't touch this game, but the Jazz have been super impressive over the past week and a half, scoring 105 points or more in four of their last five. And they are doing this without the injured Gordon Hayward, who might return for tonight's game. Utah is also are a horrible defensive team, along with Minnesota, so I expect plenty of points in this one. I could see the Timberwolves having one of those 120 point home games, while the Jazz aren't too far behind them..

Dan’s Pick: Over 207

Follow me on Twitter @Dan_SCP

Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Utah Jazz - 1/18/14

Greg Smith-USA TODAY Sports

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