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Utah Jazz vs. Minnesota Timberwolves - 1/21/14

Minnesota Timberwolves (19-21) at Utah Jazz (14-28)

NBA Basketball: Tuesday, January 21, 2014 at 9:00 pm (EnergySolutions Arena)

The Line: Utah Jazz +3 -- Over/Under: 203.5 See the Latest Odds


The Utah Jazz look for payback against the Minnesota Timberwolves on Tuesday night from EnergySolutions Arena.

Head to head, the Timberwolves are 2-7 ATS in the last 9 meetings and 1-6 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Utah while the home team is 10-4 ATS in the last 14 meetings and the favorite is 8-3 ATS in the last 11 meetings. The Jazz are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a SU loss of more than 10 points, 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games playing on 2 days rest and 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 home games. The Timberwolves on the other hand are 14-5-1 ATS in their last 20 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400, but just 9-25-1 ATS in their last 35 games following a S.U. win and 11-26 ATS in their last 37 games playing on 2 days rest.

Utah Jazz vs. Minnesota Timberwolves - 1/21/14

Russ Isabella-USA TODAY Sports

Am I crazy for taking the over here despite these two teams combining for just 170 total points in their clash on Saturday night, which is the last time these two teams played. In that meeting, Utah managed to score just 72 points (23 at halftime) as they shot just 27 percent from downtown and overall. Alec Burks, who is starting in place for the injured Gordon Hayward, who may return tonight, was the only Jazz player to finish the game in double-figures as he scored 18 points on 4-10 shooting.

So why do I like the over in this one? Well, I’m prepared to say their outing in chilly Minnesota was a one off for a young Jazz squad playing their third road game in four nights and fourth game in six nights overall. Just have look at the Utah team totals in their previous five games: 110, 105, 118, 102 and 112. Pretty impressive for a team missing their leading scorer in Hayward. Their last three home games have all been high scoring as they have averaged a total of 216.3 points per contest and the over is 5-2 in their last 7 at EnergySolutions Arena.

As far as the Timberwolves are concerned, they like to push the pace at every opportunity and they have been one of the highest scoring teams since the start of the season. While they have been kept to under 100 in three of their last four matches, they did score 98 against Utah on Saturday, but only 19 in the fourth when the game was well and truly over. The two other games came in San Antonio and Toronto against a Raptors team that are shutting teams down left, right and center.

So there you have it. I’m not going to let Saturday’s result effect my decision making here too much because the Jazz were clearly tired and off their game. Now they are back at home, well rested and dare say Hayward is going to make his return to the hardwood tonight....

Dan’s Pick: Over 203.5

Follow me on Twitter @Dan_SCP


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