Toronto Raptors vs. New Orleans Pelicans - 2/10/14
New Orleans Pelicans (22-27) at Toronto Raptors (26-24)
NBA Basketball: Monday, February 10, 2014 at 7:00 pm (Air Canada Centre)
The Line: Toronto Raptors -7 -- Over/Under: 193.5 See the Latest Odds
The Toronto Raptors return home to face the New Orleans Pelicans on Monday night.
Head to head, the Pelicans are 0-7 ATS in the last 7 meetings while the road team is 17-5 ATS in the last 22 meetings and the underdog is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings. The Raptors are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games following a S.U. loss and 20-7 ATS in their last 27 games overall, but just 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days. The Pelicans on the other hand are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a S.U loss and 30-11-1 ATS in their last 42 games following a SU loss of more than 10 points, but just 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games playing on 0 days rest.
Tom Szczerbowski-USA TODAY Sport
The under immediately jumped out at me when I first saw the lines for this game and nothing has really changed now that I’ve looking into things further. Now the Toronto Raptors are actually averaging 100.6 points over their last five games, which is a decent number, but it’s not really that impressive when you consider they faced teams such as Portland, Denver, Sacramento and Los Angeles (Clippers) during that stretch. Those four teams I just mentioned play at a really fast pace, so averaging 100 points is no great feet at all. Not only that, but they will be playing their first home game since the 29th of January, so I expect them to be a little sloppy on the offensive end, which is usually the case for a team coming off a long road trip.
As far as the New Orleans Pelicans are concerned, they managed just 81 points in their loss in Brooklyn last night and are averaging just 90 points over their last six contests. The Pelicans could actually be one of the better offensive teams in the NBA, but they are simply too banged up right now as Jrue Holiday, Ryan Anderson and Jason Smith are all out of the line-up with various injuries. As a result, New Orleans has scored over 107 points just once so far in 2014, which happen to be on New Year’s day when they lost in Minnesota 124-112
Given that the Raptors will be playing in their first home game since returning from a long road trip and the fact that the Pelicans are missing three of their better offensive players, the under has to be the play here. Not only that, but Toronto was actually one of the premier defensive teams in the league after they traded Rudy Gay to Sacramento, even though they have slipped a bit lately...
Dan’s Pick: Under 193.5