Indiana Pacers vs. Dallas Mavericks - 2/12/14
Dallas Mavericks (31-21) at Indiana Pacers (40-11)
NBA Basketball: Wednesday, February 12, 2014 at 7:00 pm (Bankers Life Fieldhouse)
The Line: Indiana Pacers -9.5 -- Over/Under: 198 See the Latest Odds
The Indiana Pacers welcome Dirk Nowitzki and the Dallas Mavericks to town on Wednesday night.
Head to head, the Mavericks are 0-6 ATS in the last 6 meetings and are 3-9 ATS in the last 12 meetings in Indiana while the road team is 7-2 ATS in the last 9 meetings. The Pacers are 26-10 ATS in their last 36 home games and 16-5 ATS in their last 21 vs. NBA Southwest, but just 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games playing on 1 days rest. The Mavericks on the other hand are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600 and 38-13 ATS in their last 51 road games, but just 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games playing on 0 days rest.
(Please note, this was written before the Mavericks game in Charlotte on Tuesday night)
Despite what happens in the Queen’s City tonight, the Dallas Mavericks are the leagues premier team at covering the spread away from home and have been for some time now. The Mavs have covered the number in 18 of their 26 road games to date and 38 of their last 51 overall, which is really quite remarkable when you think about it. Having that that, tonight’s game will be their third straight road game in four nights and they haven’t covered the spread in any of their last four games playing on zero days rest. Just on this, Dallas has been pretty bad in their last four matches on no rest as they have lost three of them by an average of 17.6 points per game while the other game resulted in a three-point home win over New Orleans, despite being 8.5 favorites.
The Mavs will also have their hands full against arguably the best home team in the NBA in the Indiana Pacers, who have won 25 of 27 games at Bankers Life Fieldhouse this season. Not only that, but Indiana is also 18-9 against the spread at home in those 27 contests and are coming off a 39-point beat down against the visiting Denver Nuggets on Monday night. The Pacers dominated the Nuggets from start to finish as they held them to 31 percent shooting from the field and outscored them by nearly 10 points each and every quarter.
It might seem like getting nearly 10 points on the road is an absolute gift for a team that has covered in 38 of 51 away from home. And I would usually take them eight times out of 10 in this instance, but the fact remains that they have been blown out in three of their last four games when playing in the second game of a back-to-back. Plus, they are facing the leagues most dominate home team...
Dan’s Pick: Indiana -9.5
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Brian Spurlock-USA TODAY Sports