New York Knicks at Miami Heat - 2/27/14
New York Knicks (21-36) at Miami Heat (40-14)
NBA Basketball: Thursday, February 27, 2014 at 8:00 pm (AmericanAirlines Arena)
The Line: Miami Heat -11 -- Over/Under: 202.5 See the Latest Odds
The New York Knicks will go on the road to play the Miami Heat in what will be the third of four scheduled meetings this season. The two teams have split the previous two meetings.
The Knicks have been an absolute mess, only winning two games in the month of February and finding more and more creative ways to lose. Their most recent loss came off an improbable shot by Dirk Nowitzki of the Dallas Mavericks. In their last five games, they’re averaging 103.6 points on 45.8 percent shooting and allowing teams to score 107 points on 47.4 percent shooting. They’ve allowed 100 or more points in five of their last seven games. Point guard Raymond Felton, who was arrested Tuesday, is probable for this game. The Knicks are 24-33 ATS overall and 13-13 ATS on the road.
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The Heat are expected to get LeBron James back, as he recovers from a broken nose. They were able to beat the Chicago Bulls without him on Sunday, as they held the Bulls to just 79 points. Miami has only lose one game in the month of February and is averaging 105.4 points on 50.8 percent shooting in their last five games. Defensively, they’ve allowed 94.6 points on 41.6 percent shooting. It looks like they’re starting to get into playoff mode. They are 25-28-1 ATS overall and 9-16 ATS at home.
Miami is going to win this game because the Knicks are just absolutely terrible right now. But double digits is asking for a bit much. However, it wouldn’t be surprising if the Heat won this one in a blowout, I’m just not comfortable to lay money on the line.
I’m going to look at the total. The Knicks don’t play any defense and the Heat are simply shooting into an ocean over the last month. The over is the play here. The over is 7-1 in the Knicks last eight road games and 4-0 in the last two meetings between these teams that have taken place in Miami.
The total should hit around 210-215, so feel comfortable with laying the much lower number.