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New Orleans Pelicans vs. Milwaukee Bucks - 3/7/14

Milwaukee Bucks (12-48) at New Orleans Pelicans (24-37)

NBA Basketball: Friday, March 7, 2014 at 8:00 pm (New Orleans Arena)

The Line: New Orleans Pelicans -7.5 -- Over/Under: 201 See the Latest Odds


Anthony Davis and the New Orleans Hornets collide with the Milwaukee Bucks on Friday night from the Big Easy.

Head to head, the Bucks are 1-5 ATS in the last 6 meetings and 1-5 ATS in the last 6 meetings in New Orleans while the underdog is 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings. The Pelicans are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games following a road trip of 7 days or more, but just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games overall. The Bucks on the other hand are 4-0 ATS in their last four road games, 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. loss and 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games overall.

New Orleans Pelicans vs. Milwaukee Bucks - 3/7/14

Derick E. Hingle-USA TODAY Sport

I took the over when these two teams met a couple of weeks ago and I have no reason to change things up this time around. In that meeting, the over was a success by 5.5 points as the New Orleans Pelicans held on for a tough fought 102-98 victory in Milwaukee against a Bucks team that has played much better in recent weeks, well against the spread anyway.

While New Orleans can be very up and down on the offensive end, that has more to do with Anthony Davis coming in and out of the lineup than anything else. In their last six outings, the Pelicans have scored 104 points or greater in three of those and they are coming off an 132-point outburst in their last game, granted, it was against a Los Angeles Lakers squad that just gave up 142 points to their cross-town rivals last night.

As far as the Bucks are concerned, the over has hit in four of their last five away from home and in their last six matches overall. Seven of their last 10 games have all finished on 200 total points or more and when you look at their defensive numbers, they have given up 100 points in 11 of their last 12. Let’s just say it’s pretty rare when they actually hold a team to under triple figures. Individually, Milwaukee is averaging a shade under 107 points over their last six contests.

With very little to play for, I just don’t see a heap of defense being played in this one. When looking back at that first meeting a couple of weeks back, these two teams were actually on track to go way over the total, but a combined 41-point fourth quarter saw them go over by just 5.5 points. I don’t know if I would go putting my hard earned cash on a game featuring these two teams, but it looks pretty solid if you ask me...

Dan’s Pick: Over 201

Follow me on Twitter @Dan_SCP


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