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Toronto Raptors vs. Phoenix Suns - 3/16/14

Phoenix Suns (37-28) at Toronto Raptors (37-27)

NBA Basketball: Sunday, March 16, 2014 at 1:00 pm (Air Canada Centre)

The Line: Toronto Raptors -5 -- Over/Under: 204 See the Latest Odds


The Toronto Raptors host the Phoenix Suns on Sunday in what looks to be an entertaining battle.

Head to head, the Suns are 3-1-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Toronto while the favorite is 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings. The Raptors are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games, 18-7 ATS in their last 25 games following a S.U. win and 27-10-1 ATS in their last 38 games overall. The Suns on the other hand are 22-8 ATS in their last 30 road games, 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600 and 24-9-1 ATS in their last 34 games playing on 1 days rest.

Here we have two of the elite against the spread teams in the entire league, which makes this one a tough pick. The Toronto Raptors have been covering machines basically since shipping Rudy Gay off to Sacramento earlier in the season as they are 27-10-1 against the spread in their last 38 outings. The Phoenix Suns on the other hand has the best against the spread record of any team in the NBA, covering the number in 42 of their 65 games to date. The Suns are also 22-8 ATS in their last 30 games away from home, which is amazing given what people, including myself, predicted for them at the start of the season.

Staying true to their season form, the Raptors have covered in four straight games at Air Canada Center while the Suns are 3-0 ATS in their last three road games, which includes stops in Golden State and Los Angeles (Clippers). In their lone meeting this season in Phoenix, the Suns ran away with a 106-97 win, although, Gay was still on the roster at that time and hoisted 15 shots for his 19 points. Toronto did win the previous three meetings however.

I've been going back and forth on this one for a while now, but I'm going settle on Toronto. While the Suns always cover on the road, the Raptors have been just as good at home in the past month, winning nine of 11 by an average of 12.2 points per game, which includes games against Golden, State, Memphis and Atlanta. I would stay away for obvious reasons, but given the early start and the fact the Raptors have been rock solid at home in recent times, leads me to think they can get the cover in this one...

Dan’s Pick: Toronto -5

Follow me on Twitter @Dan_SCP


Toronto Raptors vs. Phoenix Suns - 3/16/14

Tom Szczerbowski-USA TODAY Sport

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