Dallas Mavericks vs. Oklahoma City Thunder - 3/25/14
Oklahoma City Thunder (51-18) at Dallas Mavericks (42-29)
NBA Basketball: Tuesday, March 25, 2014 at 8:00 pm (American Airlines Center)
The Line: Dallas Mavericks +3 -- Over/Under: 211.5 See the Latest Odds
The Dallas Mavericks collide with the Oklahoma City Thunder on Tuesday night the American Airlines Center.
Head to head, the Thunder are 12-3-1 ATS in the last 16 meetings in Dallas while the road team is 33-16-2 ATS in the last 51 meetings and the underdog is 23-8-1 ATS in the last 32 meetings. The Mavericks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600 and 8-3 ATS in their last 11 vs. Western Conference, but just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600. The Thunder on the other hand are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600 and 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games playing on 0 days rest, but just 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games.
(Please note, this was written before the Thunder's home game against the Denver Nuggets on Monday night)
Regardless of what happens in their contest against the Nuggets on Monday, I like the Oklahoma City Thunder tonight for a couple of reasons. Yes, the Dallas Mavericks did just hand Kevin Durant and company a 109-86 home loss just last week, which is part of the reason why I think like them in this one, payback. Don't think that Durant and Russell Westbrook, who sat out of last week's meeting on the first of a back-to-back set as a precautionary measure, have forgotten about that blowout loss at home.
While OKC has only covered the spread in five of their last six games away from home, they are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 road games against a team with a home winning percentage of greater than .600. For everyone worried about them being on a back-to-back, know that they are 11-5 ATS in their last 15 games when playing on zero days rest.
I think the general consensus is that Dallas is a pretty tough team to face at home, however, they have only covered the spread in 16 of their 35 home games to date an have dropped two of three at American Airlines Center against Minnesota and Brooklyn on Sunday night. On the other hand, the Mavs are 23-13 against the spread in their 33 road games, which is one of the best marks in the entire NBA.
While I would prefer this line to be closer to a pick em, I still like OKC in this one. Can't you just see them getting payback for last week's blowout defeat at home? Cause I can....
Dan’s Pick: OKC -3
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