Dallas Mavericks vs. Golden State Warriors - 4/1/14
Golden State Warriors (45-28) at Dallas Mavericks (44-30)
NBA Basketball: Tuesday, April 1, 2014 at 8:30 pm (American Airlines Center)
The Line: Dallas Mavericks -4 -- Over/Under: 204.5 See the Latest Odds
Two hopeful playoff teams collide on Tuesday night as Dallas Mavericks collide with the Golden State Warriors.
Head to head, the Warriors are 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings in Dallas while the underdog is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings and the road team is 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings. The Mavericks are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600, but just 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games and 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games overall. The Warriors on the other hand are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games following a S.U. loss, but just 1-6 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600 and 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
Neither Dallas or Golden State enter tonight's showdown in any great form from a betting stand point as the Mavs have covered the spread in just two of their last seven overall, while the visiting Warriors are only 2-6 ATS in their last eight. As far as Dallas is concerned, they have struggled to get any rhythm going these past two weeks, alternating wins and losses in their last seven games, struggling to get over a mediocre Sacramento Kings squad in their last outing on Saturday night. Meanwhile, the Dubs concluded their five-game home stand by losing two of their last three against San Antonio and New York, despite being favorites on both occasions.
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As far as recent head-to-head meetings go, the home team has dominated this series since early in 2011, winning five straight and eight of the last 10 overall. The Warriors own a 2-1 series lead, but that's only because they have played two on their home court. Plus, the Mavs were unlucky not to win that middle meeting, getting outscored 29-21 in the fourth quarter to fall 95-93.
While you would proably lean towards Dallas in this one simply because of the fact that the home team has dominated this series of late, I think the over holds more value. The Mavs averaged points scored has been 224 points in their last six outings, granted three of those games went into overtime, but still..
Dan’s Pick: Over 204.5