Miami Heat (24-20) vs. Atlanta Hawks (21-22)
January 16, 2023 3:30 pm EDT
The Line: Atlanta Hawks +1.5; Over/Under: +224
(Get latest betting odds)
The Miami Heat and the Atlanta Hawks collide at the State Farm Arena on Monday night.
The Miami Heat have been in great shape as they’ve won seven of their last 10 games overall and they will be gunning for a fourth straight victory after routing the Bucks in a 111-95 home win on Saturday. Gabe Vincent led the team with 27 points and five steals on 11 of 14 shooting, Bam Adebayo and Victor Oladipo each scored 20 points while Jimmy Butler chipped in with 16 points. As a team, the Heat shot 51 percent from the field and 11 of 22 from the 3-point line as they set the tone with their defense by holding the Bucks to just 20 points in the first quarter, before they poured in 34 points in the fourth quarter to pull away and make it a blowout.
Meanwhile, the Atlanta Hawks have been in decent shape as they’ve won four of their last six games overall and they will be aiming for a third straight victory after routing the Raptors in a 114-103 road win on Saturday. Trae Young led the team with 29 points and nine assists, Dejounte Murray added 27 points with eight rebounds and six assists while Onyeka Okongwu chipped in with 10 points, 13 rebounds and two blocks. As a team, the Hawks shot 51 percent from the field and 11 of 27 from the 3-point line as they stormed out of the gates and poured in 69 points in the first half to take a 12-point lead into halftime, before they held the Raptors to just 22 points in the third quarter to push the lead out to 18 points.
Looking at the betting trends, the Heat are 6-13-1 ATS in their last 20 games against a team with a losing record, 0-5 ATS in their last five games following a win of more than 10 points and 4-1 ATS in their last five games overall. The Hawks are 2-6 ATS in their last eight home games, 1-4 ATS in their last five games following a win of more than 10 points.
Head to head, the under is 4-1 in the last five meetings in Atlanta and the Heat are 5-2 ATS in the last seven meetings overall.
The Heat will again be missing a few players as Tyler Herro, Kyle Lowry and Duncan Robinson are all out, while the Hawks have ruled out Clint Capela and Bogdan Bogdanovic again. The Heat have quietly been one of the form teams of the league and they will be brimming with confidence after beating the Bucks in their last outing. The Hawks have started to turn things around as well, but they are only 2-6 ATS in their last eight home games, so I’ll stick with the Heat to get the win and cover in this one.
