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Miami Heat vs. Charlotte Bobcats - 4/20/14 Game One

Charlotte Bobcats (43-39) at Miami Heat (54-28)

NBA Basketball: Sunday, April 20, 2014 at 3:30 pm (AmericanAirlines Arena)

The Line: Miami Heat -9.5 -- Over/Under: 189 See the Latest Odds

TV: ABC

The Charlotte Bobcats and Miami Heat will play game one of the NBA playoffs on Sunday afternoon. The Heat swept the season series 4-0.

The Bobcats have been one of the hottest teams in the NBA, winning eight of their last nine games. On the season, the Bobcats average 96.9 points on 44.2 percent shooting and allow 97.1 points on 44.2 percent shooting. The Bobcats big man in Al Jefferson could be a mismatch in this series, as he’s shooting 55.2 percent in his last five games and has posted nine straight double doubles. The Bobcats have won 14 of their last 15 games when holding their opponent under 100 points. The Charlotte Bobcats are 47-32-3 ATS overall and 23-16-2 ATS on the road.

Miami Heat vs. Charlotte Bobcats - 4/20/14 Game One

USA TODAY Sports

The Heat ended their season losing six of their last eight games and failing to clinch the top seed in the East. On the season, the Heat average 102.2 points on 50.1 percent shooting and allow 97.4 points on 45.7 percent shooting. While the Heat have been losing, they do enter the playoffs with a healthy Ray Allen and Dwyane Wade for the first time in a while. LeBron James is shooting 54.7 percent and averaging 31.1 points in the month of April. The Miami Heat are 37-43-2 ATS overall and 18-22-1 ATS at home.

The Bobcats are 13-6 ATS in their last 19 games overall and 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 games playing on 3 or more days rest. The Heat are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 Conference Quarterfinals games and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games overall. The Bobcats are 1-5 ATS in the last 6 meetings, while the favorite is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings.

I’m not comfortable with the spread, which is why I’m going to side with the over. The Heat should have no problem scoring over 100 in this game, while Jefferson and the Bobcats should get their fair share as well. This is the Heat’s time to shine, and they’ll start by unleashing an offensive explosion.

Take the over. 

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Over 189

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