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NBA Playoffs Dallas Mavericks at San Antonio Spurs Pick, Odds, Prediction 4/20/14

San Antonio Spurs (62-20) vs. Dallas Mavericks (49-33)

NBA Basketball: Sunday, April 20, 2014 at 1:00 pm (AT&T Center)

The Line: San Antonio Spurs -9 -- Over/Under: 205.5 See the Latest Odds

TV: TNT

The Dallas Mavericks and the San Antonio Spurs face off on Sunday in San Antonio in game one of their first round Western Conference playoff series.

The Dallas Mavericks earned the final spot I the Western Conference playoffs and earned the right to play the Spurs. The Mavericks are 23-18 on the road this season, 6-4 in their last 10 games, and 29-23 against the Western Conference. Dirk Nowitzki leads Dallas averaging 21.7 points and 6.2 rebounds, Monta Ellis is averaging 19 points and 5.7 assists, and Vince Carter is averaging 11.9 points. As a team the mavericks are averaging 1-4.8 points and they are shooting 47.4 percent while defensively they are allowing 102.4 points and their opponents are shooting 46.4 percent. The Mmavs haven’t beaten the Spurs since 2012.

NBA Playoffs Dallas Mavericks at San Antonio Spurs Pick, Odds, Prediction 4/20/14

USA TODAY Sports

The San Antonio Spurs finished the season with the best record in the NBA and have the home court advantage throughout the playoffs. The Spurs are 32-9 at home, 38-14 against the Western Conference, and 6-4 in their last 10 games. Tony Parker leads San Antonio averaging 16.7 points and 5.7 assists, Tim Duncan averages 15.1 points and 9.7 rebounds, and Kawhi Leonard is averaging 12.8 points and 6.2 rebounds. As a team the Spurs are averaging 105.4 points and they are shooting 48.6 percent while defensively they are allowing 97.6 points and their opponents are shooting 44.4 percent. The Spurs have had few issues matching up against the Mavs in recent years.

Dallas is 7-2-1 against the spread in their last 10 Conference Quarterfinal games, 39-14 against the spread following a loss, and 47-19 against the spread in their last 66 road games. San Antonio is 8-2 against the spread in their last 10 home games, 15-5 against the spread in their last 20 games, and 18-8 following a loss. The road team has covered the point spread in six of the last seven meetings of these two.

With the total set at 205.5 my first take would be the over but with two veteran playoff savvy teams I expect defense to play a big role and I like the Under.

My stronger play is on who will cover the point spread and I will post that pick in the Premium Area as well as on the App.

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Under 205.5

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