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San Antonio Spurs at Dallas Mavericks NBA Pick, Odds, Prediction - 4/26/14 Game Three

San Antonio Spurs (62-20) at Dallas Mavericks (49-33)

NBA Basketball: Saturday, April 26, 2014 at 4:30 pm (American Airlines Center)

The Line: Dallas Mavericks +3.5 -- Over/Under: 202.5 See the Latest Odds

TV: FSSW, KTXA, TNT

The San Antonio Spurs and Dallas Mavericks play game three of the NBA playoffs on Saturday afternoon with the series tied 1-1.

The Spurs gave a horrible showing in the game two loss despite shooting 50 percent from the field, as they turned the ball over 22 times and were outrebounded 35-32. With the loss, the Spurs have now lost five of their last seven games when allowing 100-plus points. The Spurs lack of defense has really been surprising lately, as they’re allowing teams to shoot 46.4 percent from the field and average 103.8 points in their last five games. The positive for the Spurs is that Manu Ginobili is back to playing well, as he’s shooting 48.8 percent from the field in his last four games. The San Antonio Spurs are 45-39 ATS overall and 25-16 ATS on the road.

San Antonio Spurs at Dallas Mavericks NBA Pick, Odds, Prediction - 4/26/14 Game Three

USA TODAY Sports

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The Mavericks defense played extremely well in the game two win, while their offense shot 48.9 percent and received double-digit points from four of their five starters. The Mavericks have now won 14 of their last 15 games when holding their opponent under 100 points. While the defense has been a pleasant surprise, the Mavs return home where they average 107.4 points on 48 percent shooting from the field and 38.4 percent from three. Speaking of hot shooting, Devon Harris has been the X-factor for the Mavericks lately, as he’s dished out 10 assists and has scored a combined 37 points off the bench in this series. The Dallas Mavericks are 46-38 ATS overall and 17-24 ATS at home. 

The Spurs are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games following a double-digit loss at home and 11-4 ATS in their last 15 road games. The Mavericks are 9-2-1 ATS in their last 12 Conference Quarterfinals games and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 home games. The Spurs are 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Dallas, while the underdog is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings. 

The over is 5-1 in the last two meetings between these two teams when the game is played in Dallas. The over is also 10-1 in Mavericks last 11 games playing on 2 days rest. That's the direction I'm going to go, as you should see some fireworks in this ball game once again.

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Over 202.5

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