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Los Angeles Clippers at Golden State Warriors NBA Pick, Odds, Prediction - 4/27/14 Game Four

Los Angeles Clippers (57-25) at Golden State Warriors (51-31)

NBA Basketball: Sunday, April 27, 2014 at 3:30 pm (Oracle Arena)

The Line: Golden State Warriors +2.5 -- Over/Under: 209.5 See the Latest Odds

TV: ABC

The Los Angeles Clippers and Golden State Warriors play game four of the NBA playoffs on Sunday afternoon. The Clippers lead the series 2-1.

The Clippers big men continue to feast in this series, as Blake Griffin racked up 32 points in the game three win, and DeAndre Jordon grabbed 22 rebounds. And Thursday’s win was rare considering the Clippers are now just 2-7 SU in their last nine games when scoring less than 100 points. The Clippers are shooting 47.7 percent from the field in their last five games and 35.3 percent from beyond the arc. Chris Paul, who continues to battle a hamstring issue, has dished out 28 assists in the first three games of this series. The Los Angeles Clippers are 47-37-1 ATS overall and 25-16-1 ATS on the road.

Los Angeles Clippers at Golden State Warriors NBA Pick, Odds, Prediction - 4/27/14 Game Four

USA TODAY Sports

The Warriors shot just 19.4 percent from three in game three and still lost the game by just two points. The Warriors continue to struggle with the Clippers defense, shooting just 32.1 percent from downtown in their last five games, and Stephen Curry has attempted only 29 shots in the last two games. The good news is that the Warriors did outrebound the Clippers in game three, 52-47, but the low shooting percentages are killing Golden State. Andre Iguodala has just 23 points in the entire series. The Golden State Warriors are 43-39-3 ATS overall and 20-20-2 ATS at home. 

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The Clippers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss and 1-7 ATS in their last 8 Conference Quarterfinals games. The Warriors are 12-1 ATS in their last 13 Conference Quarterfinals games and 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall. The home team is 8-2 ATS in the last 10 meetings, while the Clippers are 1-5 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Golden State.

I really like the over in this game, as it is 9-3 in the last 12 meetings between these two teams. The Warriors have yet to have one of their traditional shooting performances, and you have to think it's coming with their backs against the wall. Take the over. 

I also have a play on the side and I will post that in the Premium Area as well as on the App.

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Over 209.5

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