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Atlanta Hawks at Indiana Pacers NBA Pick, Odds, Prediction - 4/28/14 Game Five

Atlanta Hawks (38-44) at Indiana Pacers (56-26)

NBA Basketball: Monday, April 28, 2014 at 8:00 pm (Bankers Life Fieldhouse)

The Line: Indiana Pacers -7 -- Over/Under: 186.5 See the Latest Odds

TV: TSOH, FSMW, NBATV

The Atlanta Hawks and Indiana Pacers play a critical game five on Monday night with the series tied up at two apiece.

The Hawks came out flat in a game five loss, shooting just 35.7 percent from the field and getting outscored 29-22 in the first quarter. Paul Millsap answered the bell with 29 points, and he’s shooting 44.4 percent from three in his last five games, but the Hawks are now 3-10 SU in their last 13 games when failing to score 100 or more points. The Hawks are shooting just 42 percent from the field in their last five games and are allowing their opponents to shoot an average of 46.1 percent. Jeff Teague has cooled off a bit since his monster game one performance, shooting 35 percent or less in his last two games. The Atlanta Hawks are 40-45-1 ATS overall and 18-24-1 ATS on the road.

Atlanta Hawks at Indiana Pacers NBA Pick, Odds, Prediction - 4/28/14 Game Five

USA TODAY Sports

Just when you’re ready to count the Pacers out, they bounce back with a big performance in game three by shooting 48.1 percent and playing Pacer defense. The Pacers are now 5-2 SU in their last seven games when holding their opponent under 100 points. And while defense is the Pacers bread and butter, they are shooting 40.4 percent from three in their last five games. One Pacer who has led the charge offensively is Paul George, who has scored 24 or more points in three of the first four games and is shooting 50 percent from beyond the arc. Roy Hibbert hasn’t grabbed double-digit rebounds in 16 straight games. The Indiana Pacers are 40-45-1 ATS overall and 22-20-1 ATS at home. 

The Hawks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a S.U. loss and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games. The Pacers are 17-36-1 ATS in their last 54 games overall and 3-10 ATS in their last 13 home games. The favorite is 27-11-1 ATS in the last 39 meetings.

We've been doing a pretty good job picking against the Pacers in this series whenever they're favored. While I'm not sure the Hawks can win this big game in Indiana, I'm not stupid enough to back an inconsistent Pacers club and the truckload of chalk.

Take the Hawks and the points. 

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Atlanta Hawks +7

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