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Dallas Mavericks at San Antonio Spurs NBA Pick, Odds, Prediction - 4/30/14 Game Five

Dallas Mavericks (49-33) at San Antonio Spurs (62-20)

NBA Basketball: Wednesday, April 30, 2014 at 7:00 pm (AT&T Center)

The Line: San Antonio Spurs -6.5 -- Over/Under: 198.5 See the Latest Odds


The Dallas Mavericks and San Antonio Spurs will play game five of the NBA playoffs on Wednesday night.

The Mavericks had a poor shooting performance in game four, shooting just 38.1 percent from the field and 29.2 percent from three. The Mavs also failed to score more than 100 points in the 93-89 loss, which makes Dallas 4-8 SU in their last 12 games when falling to reach the 100-point mark. The positive for the Mavericks is that their defense has stepped up in a big way, as they’re holding teams to just 31.5 percent shooting from beyond the arc in their last five games. The Spurs shot just 29.4 percent from deep in the game four loss. Monta Ellis has scored 20 or more points in three of the four games in this series. The Dallas Mavericks are 48-38 ATS overall and 29-14 ATS on the road.

Dallas Mavericks at San Antonio Spurs NBA Pick, Odds, Prediction - 4/30/14 Game Five


Once again, game four wasn’t the prettiest performance from the Spurs, but the win ties the series up going back to San Antonio. The Spurs are 17-0 SU in their last 17 games when allowing less than 100 points. However, the Spurs are averaging 96.6 points on 46.5 percent shooting and allowing 101.8 points on 45.9 percent shooting in their last five games, averages that all worse than their season averages. Boris Diaw scored 17 points in the game four win, which were his most points scored since February. The San Antonio Spurs are 45-41 ATS overall and 20-23 ATS at home. 

The Mavericks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS win and 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The Spurs are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record and 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games overall. The Mavericks are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings in San Antonio.

With such a big game and a Mavericks team that has proven it can beat the Spurs already, you'd be a fool not to take the points. As has been the case for much of these playoffs, this game will be close. The Mavs will cover. 

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Dallas Mavericks +6.5

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