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Portland Trail Blazers at Houston Rockets NBA Pick, Odds, Prediction - 4/30/14 Game Five

Portland Trail Blazers (54-28) at Houston Rockets (54-28)

NBA Basketball: Wednesday, April 30, 2014 at 9:30 pm (Toyota Center)

The Line: Houston Rockets -5.5 -- Over/Under: 214 See the Latest Odds

TV: KGW, CSN Houston, TNT

The Portland Trail Blazers could win the first round matchup against the Houston Rockets with a win on Wednesday.

The Trail Blazers took a 3-1 series lead with a 123-120 overtime win in game four on Sunday. The Trail Blazers have simply been getting it done offensively, shooting 36.6 percent from downtown and averaging 116.6 points in their last five games. The Trail Blazers are 13-1 SU in their last 14 games when scoring 100 or more points. Of course, LaMarcus Aldridge is having the series of his life, as he’s shooting 52.9 percent and averaging 35.3 points during this playoff series. Defensively, the Trail Blazers are allowing 114 points, but are holding their opponents to 29.2 percent three-point shooting in their last five games. The Portland Trail Blazers are 46-40 ATS overall and 27-16 ATS on the road.

Portland Trail Blazers at Houston Rockets NBA Pick, Odds, Prediction - 4/30/14 Game Five

USA TODAY Sports

The Rockets simply can’t catch a break, as they’ve lost all three playoff games by single digits and two of them came in overtime. The Rockets drop to 5-9 SU in their last 14 games when allowing 100 or more points. The Rockets lack of defense has been the story of this series, as they’re allowing 115.6 points on 47.5 percent shooting in their last five games. Offensively, James Harden is shooting just 35 percent from the field in this series and Chandler Parsons is shooting 33.3 percent from three. The good news for the Rockets is that Dwight Howard has posted a double-double in all four games, and they return home where they shoot 47.5 percent from the field. The Houston Rockets are 42-42-2 ATS overall and 22-19-2 ATS at home. 

The Trail Blazers are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 road games and 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games playing on 2 days rest. The Rockets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win. The road team is 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings.

This is an interesting line considering each game in this series has come down to the wire. While I think the Rockets find a way to extend this series at home, I just can’t bring myself to take the chalk. Four of the last five games between these teams have been decided by five or less points.

Take the Trail Blazers and the points.  

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Portland Trail Blazers +5.5

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