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Los Angeles Clippers at Oklahoma City Thunder NBA Pick, Odds, Prediction - 5/5/14 Game One

Los Angeles Clippers (57-25) at Oklahoma City Thunder (59-23)

NBA Basketball: Monday, May 5, 2014 at 9:30 pm (Chesapeake Energy Arena)

The Line: Oklahoma City Thunder -5 -- Over/Under: 211.5 See the Latest Odds

TV: TNT

The Los Angeles Clippers and Oklahoma City Thunder will play game one in the second round of the NBA playoffs on Monday. The two teams split the regular season series at two games.

The Clippers are coming off a seven game series against the Golden State Warriors and will play this game on only one days rest. In the last five games of the series, the Clippers averaged 106.6 points on 46 percent shooting and allowed 107.6 points on 46.2 percent shooting. DeAndre Jordan has been the engine for the Clippers, as he’s shooting 75.7 percent during the playoffs and has grabbed at least 18 rebounds in three straight games. The Clippers are 12-4 SU when scoring at least 100 points in their last 16 games. The Los Angeles Clippers are also 48-40-1 ATS overall and 25-18-1 ATS on the road.

Los Angeles Clippers at Oklahoma City Thunder NBA Pick, Odds, Prediction - 5/5/14 Game One

USA TODAY Sports

The Thunder just survived a seven games series against the Memphis Grizzlies and won’t require any traveling after the game seven win on Saturday. In the last five games of the series, the Thunder averaged 102 points on 44.1 percent shooting and allowed 96 points on 41.2 percent shooting. Kevin Durant seems to have found his groove, scoring a combined 69 points in his last two games, including 5-5 from downtown in the game seven win. The Thunder are 14-4 SU when scoring at least 100 points in their last 18 games. The OKC Thunder are also 46-40-3 ATS overall and 25-18-2 ATS at home. 

The Clippers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games playing on 1 days rest and 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record. The Thunder are 10-4-2 ATS in their last 16 home games and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 Conference Semifinals games. The Clippers are 13-5 ATS in the last 18 meetings in Oklahoma City.

I like the under in this matchup. While the over is 9-3 in the last 12 meetings between these two teams, both clubs are coming off of a game seven win on Saturday. You expect to see some tired legs and a little sluggish play. This leads to slow starts and low scoring.

Give me the under. 

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Under 211.5

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