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Indiana Pacers vs. Miami Heat NBA Playoffs - 5/18/14

Miami Heat (54-28) at Indiana Pacers (56-26)

NBA Basketball: Sunday, May 18, 2014 at 3:30 pm (Bankers Life Fieldhouse)

The Line: Indiana Pacers +2.5 -- Over/Under: 181 See the Latest Odds

TV:

The Miami Heat and Indiana Pacers collide in Game 1 of the Eastern Conference finals

Head to head, the Heat are 2-5 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Indiana while the home team is 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings. The Pacers are 7-18-1 ATS in their last 26 home games, 1-9 ATS in their last 10 home games vs. a team with a winning road record and 17-37-1 ATS in their last 55 games overall. The Heat on the other hand are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games playing on 3 or more days rest, 19-7 ATS in their last 26 Sunday games and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall.

All the early money is flooding in for the Miami Heat in Game 1, but is anyone surprised? While the Indiana Pacers played the Heat tough in last seasons Eastern Conference finals and the have actually defeated Miami at home on four straight occasions, they clearly aren't the team we thought they were at the start of the season.

In fairness, the Pacers have won six of their last eight overall, but only two of those wins came at home, a place they rarely lost during the first couple of months of the regular season. Indi has already dropped four games at Bankers Life Fieldhouse in the playoffs by an average of 12 points per contest. Compare that with the Miami Heat who have only lost the one contest all postseason.

It can't be understated that the home team has won each of the last eight meetings and that the Pacers took a 2-1 series lead over the Heat in last year's series. While you could make a pretty good case for Indiana too take Game 1, I still don't really trust them as much as I do the Heat. The Pacers ended up winning four of the last five against the Washington Wizards, but I still didn't feel they played all that great. If Indiana was out West, they would have been easily bounced in round 1, no question.

Not a game I would wager on, but I see the Heat coming away with a seven point victory...

Dan’s Pick: Miami -2.5

Follow me on Twitter @Dan_SCP

 

Indiana Pacers vs. Miami Heat NBA Playoffs - 5/18/14

USA TODAY Sports

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