Oklahoma City Thunder at San Antonio Spurs NBA Pick, Odds, Prediction - 5/19/14 Game One
Oklahoma City Thunder (59-23) at San Antonio Spurs (62-20)
NBA Basketball: Monday, May 19, 2014 at 9:00 pm (AT&T Center)
The Line: San Antonio Spurs -4.5 -- Over/Under: 209 See the Latest Odds
The Oklahoma City Thunder and San Antonio Spurs will play game one of the Western Conference Finals on Monday night. The Thunder swept the Spurs during the regular season.
The Thunder eliminated the Memphis Grizzlies and Los Angeles Clippers to get to this point in the playoffs. During the Thunder’s last five games, they’re averaging 107.6 points on 47.9 percent shooting and allowing 103.2 points on 43.4 percent shooting. Of course, the Thunder are relying heavily on a combination of Kevin Durant and Russell Westbrook, a duo that has combined for 58 points per game during the playoffs. The Thunder can only hope for more consistent production from their bench, as OKC is getting just 24.6 points from the unit in its last five games, which is six points below the league average. The Thunder are 7-2 SU in the playoffs when scoring more than 100 points. The Oklahoma City Thunder are also 50-42-3 ATS overall and 24-22-1 ATS on the road.
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The Spurs eliminated the Dallas Mavericks and the Portland Trail Blazers to return to the Western Conference Finals for the ninth time in 16 years. During the Spurs last five games, they’re averaging 108.8 points on 48.8 percent shooting and allowing 95.4 points on 41.8 percent shooting. Tony Parker has really led the charge for the Spurs throughout the playoffs, shooting 48.5 percent from the field and averaging 19.3 points. Parker expects to play game one despite a hamstring injury. What’s interesting about the Spurs is that no player has averaged more than 33.8 minutes per game, which means all of these guys will be fresh for what is likely going to be a long series. At home, the Spurs average 106.3 points and allow 97.1 points. The San Antonio Spurs are 50-44 ATS overall and 24-24 ATS at home.
The Thunder are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 road games and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The Spurs are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games and 14-5 ATS in their last 19 games following a ATS win. The Thunder are 10-1-1 ATS in the last 12 meetings vs. the Spurs.
We've seen the road team steal game one plenty of times throughout the playoffs. And while the Thunder may or may not do that here, they have had the Spurs number lately and have been money ATS against them. I'll gladly take all of the points I can get.