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Indiana Pacers at Miami Heat NBA Pick, Odds, Prediction - 5/26/14 Game Four

Indiana Pacers (56-26) at Miami Heat (54-28)

NBA Basketball: Monday, May 26, 2014 at 8:30 pm (AmericanAirlines Arena)

The Line: Miami Heat -6.5 -- Over/Under: 183.5 See the Latest Odds


The Indiana Pacers and Miami Heat will play game four of the Eastern Conference finals on Monday night at American Airlines Arena. The Heat lead the series, 2-1.

The Pacers started game three off nicely but fell apart in the second half, losing 87-99. The Pacers shot 47.7 percent from the field, but made just 28.6 percent of their shots from downtown. The loss was the first time throughout the playoffs where the Pacers have lost back-to-back games. In the Pacers last five games, they’re averaging 89.8 points on 45.6 percent shooting and allowing 92.8 points on 48.9 percent shooting. While the Pacers aren’t a great offensive team, they’re getting just 17.8 points from their bench in their last five games, which is about 14 points under the league average. Roy Hibbert has shot above 50 percent in his last two games and is averaging 15.7 points in this series. The Indiana Pacers are 46-51-1 ATS overall and 22-26 ATS on the road.

Indiana Pacers at Miami Heat NBA Pick, Odds, Prediction - 5/26/14 Game Four


The Heat shot 54.4 percent from the field in the game three victory and remain undefeated on their home court during the playoffs. While Dwyane Wade and LeBron James carried the way with 49 points, it was Ray Allen who chipped in with 16 off the bench that made the difference. In the Heat’s last five games, they’re averaging 96 points on 50.6 percent shooting and allowing 93.4 points on 45.8 percent shooting. Chris Bosh needs to step his game up, as he’s been held to nine points in each of the first three games and is shooting just 36.4 percent from the field in this series. However, the Heat are one of the top shooting teams at home, knocking down 51.2 percent of their shots. The Miami Heat are 45-47-2 ATS overall and 22-24-1 ATS at home. 

The Pacers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games and 18-39-1 ATS in their last 58 games overall. The Heat are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games overall and 7-1 ATS in their last 8 vs. NBA Central. The Pacers are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Miami.

The Heat are in their groove and eager to end this series as quickly as possible. The Pacers have shown they don't have enough horses offensively to keep up, which is a terrible thing with the way the Heat shoot the ball at home. Once again, I like Miami to win by double digits. 

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Miami Heat -6.5

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