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Miami Heat vs. Indiana Pacers - 5/26/14

Indiana Pacers (56-26) at Miami Heat (54-28)

NBA Basketball: Monday, May 26, 2014 at 8:30 pm (AmericanAirlines Arena)

The Line: Miami Heat -6.5 -- Over/Under: 183.5 See the Latest Odds


The Indiana Pacers hope to bounce back against the Miami Heat in Game 4 on Monday night from South Beach.

Head to head, the Pacers are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings and 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Miami while the home team is 8-3 ATS in the last 11 meetings. The 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600 and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games overall. The Pacers on the other hand are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games and 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a S.U. loss, but just 0-6 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.

Miami Heat vs. Indiana Pacers - 5/26/14


Despite getting off to a fast start, the Indiana Pacers couldn't hold on to defeat the Miami Heat in Game 3 on Sunday night, going down 99-87 and the process falling behind 2-1 in the best-of-seven series. Indiana came to play early on, racing out to a 17-4 lead as they looked the more agressive squad. However, things would change pretty quickly as the Heat would go on to outscore the visitors in the second quarter and then by 11 points in a crucial third quater, which proved to be the difference in the game. LeBron James and Dwyane Wade led the way with a combined 49 points on 18-30 shooting while Ray Allen added 16 off the bench, going a perfect 4-4 from beyond the arc. Paul George top scored for the Pacers with 17 points while big man Roy Hibbert contributed 16.

See the thing is, Miami have been getting off to pretty average starts to most of their playoff games at home thus far, but they have been dynamite in the second half’s. In Games 1 & 2 against the Brooklyn Nets, the Heat pulled away in the second half of both games, just like they did against the Pacers on Saturday night. So while I would like to think that Indiana will bounce back and at least keep this one close, you have to have serious doubts that they can given how they are closing out games lately. On the plus side, Indi has been better on the road in the postseason than at home, which is a positive sign.

I do think the Pacers can keep this one close, but I trust Miami a whole lot more if I’m honest with you. Given their horrible start to Game 3, I expect the Heat to start this game a whole lot better, which will ultimately lead to the win and cover...

Dan’s Pick: Miami -6.5

Follow me on Twitter @Dan_SCP


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