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San Antonio Spurs at Oklahoma City Thunder NBA Pick, Odds, Prediction - 5/27/14 Game Four

San Antonio Spurs (62-20) at Oklahoma City Thunder (59-23)

NBA Basketball: Tuesday, May 27, 2014 at 9:00 pm (Chesapeake Energy Arena)

The Line: Oklahoma City Thunder -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds

TV: TNT

The San Antonio Spurs and Oklahoma City Thunder will play game four of the Western Conference finals on Tuesday night. The Spurs lead the series, 2-1.

The Spurs had an off game in the game three loss, shooting just 39.6 percent from the field and having three of their five starters being held to single digits. Three of the Spurs five playoff losses have come when they’ve been held to less than 100 points. In the Spurs last five games, they’re averaging 105.4 points on 47.6 percent shooting and allowing 94.6 points on 43.1 percent shooting. After being somewhat quiet in the first two playoff rounds, Manu Ginobili is shooting 58.6 percent from the field in this series and scored 23 points in the game three loss. The San Antonio Spurs are 52-45 ATS overall and 26-21 ATS on the road.

San Antonio Spurs at Oklahoma City Thunder NBA Pick, Odds, Prediction - 5/27/14 Game Four

USA TODAY Sports

The Thunder shot 45.7 percent from the field in the victory and received a much needed boost from Serge Ibaka, who scored 15 points and grabbed seven rebounds. The Thunder are now 8-3 SU in the playoffs when scoring more than 100 points. In the Thunders last five games, they’re averaging 99.4 points on 43.9 percent shooting and allowing 106.6 points on 46.3 percent shooting. Despite the win, the Thunder need better production from their superstars, as Kevin Durant is shooting 44.4 percent and Russell Westbrook is shooting 37.5 percent in this series, averages that are well below their season numbers. The Thunder have to like their chances of tying this series at home, a place where they average 107.5 points. The Oklahoma City Thunder are 51-44-3 ATS overall and 27-20-2 ATS at home. 

The Spurs are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games playing on 1 days rest and 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games overall. The Thunder are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 Conference Finals games. The home team is 12-3-1 ATS in the last 16 meetings, while the Spurs are 0-8 ATS in the last 8 meetings in Oklahoma City.

The Thunder are a much better team with Ibaka on the floor and are a much more confident team at home. I like the Thunder to get the job once again and cover this small spread. 

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Oklahoma City Thunder -2.5

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