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Miami Heat at San Antonio Spurs NBA Finals Game One Pick, Odds, Prediction - 6/5/14

Miami Heat (54-28) at San Antonio Spurs (62-20)

NBA Basketball: Thursday, June 5, 2014 at 9:00 pm (AT&T Center)

The Line: San Antonio Spurs -3 -- Over/Under: 199 See the Latest Odds


The Miami Heat and San Antonio Spurs will clash Thursday night in game one of the NBA Finals. The two teams split the two regular season meetings.

The Heat made it through the Charlotte Bobcats, Brooklyn Nets and Indiana Pacers to get to this point. LeBron James and Dwyane Wade are leading the Heat in the playoffs with a combined 35.8 points and 9.3 assists per game. On the season, the Heat average 101.7 points on 50 percent shooting and allow 96.6 points on 45.8 percent shooting. On the road, Miami averages 99.4 points on 48.8 percent shooting and allows 97.2 points on 45.6 percent shooting. James has never won a road playoff game one in his career. The Miami Heat are 47-48-2 ATS overall and 23-24-1 ATS on the road.

Miami Heat at San Antonio Spurs NBA Finals Game One Pick, Odds, Prediction - 6/5/14


The Spurs eliminated the Dallas Mavericks, Portland Trailblazers and Oklahoma City Thunder to get back to the finals. There are five players averaging at least 10 points in the postseason for the Spurs. On the season, the Spurs average 105.6 points on 48.5 percent shooting and allow 97.8 points on 44.3 percent shooting. At home, the Spurs average 107 points on 49.9 percent shooting and allow 96.7 points on 44.6 percent shooting. The Spurs have only lost one home playoff game and that was game five against the Mavericks. Tony Parker is questionable with an ankle injury but expects to play. The San Antonio Spurs are 54-46 ATS overall and 27-24 ATS at home. 

The Heat are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games playing on 3 or more days rest and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The Spurs are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 home games and 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games overall. The Heat are 2-5 ATS in the last 7 meetings in San Antonio.

I picked the Heat to win this series, which is why I'm taking the Heat and the points. This series is as close as it gets and Miami is going to at least win one of these games to head back to South Beach tied up. Even if the Spurs win this game, I'll gladly take Miami and the four-point cushion. 

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Miami Heat +4

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