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San Antonio Spurs at Miami Heat NBA Final Pick, Odds, Prediction - 6/10/14 Game Three

San Antonio Spurs (62-20) at Miami Heat (54-28)

NBA Basketball: Tuesday, June 10, 2014 at 9:00 pm (AmericanAirlines Arena)

The Line: Miami Heat -4 -- Over/Under: 198 See the Latest Odds


The San Antonio Spurs and Miami Heat will play game three of the NBA Final on Tuesday night with the series tied at one game apiece.

Despite shooting 46.2 percent from beyond the arc, the Spurs lost game two, 98-96. It was the Spurs first playoff loss this season when they’ve held their opponent under 100 points, as they’re now 9-1 SU. In the Spurs last five games, they’re averaging 105.6 points on 45.1 percent shooting and allowing 100.4 points on 45.5 percent shooting. Tim Duncan has posted a double-double in four straight playoff games, while Manu Ginobili is shooting a cool 48 percent from the field in this series off the bench. Now the Spurs go on the road, a place where they shoot 47.1 percent and average 104.1 points. The San Antonio Spurs are 55-46 ATS overall and 27-22 ATS on the road.

San Antonio Spurs at Miami Heat NBA Final Pick, Odds, Prediction - 6/10/14 Game Three


In the game two win, the Heat shot a lights out 52.9 percent from the field and received 35 points from LeBron James. The Heat are now 13-1 SU in the playoffs when holding their opponent under 100 points. In the Heat’s last five games, they’re averaging 100.6 points on 50.3 percent shooting and allowing 94.4 points on 49.9 percent shooting. While James and Dwyane Wade have carried the load, the X-factor for the heat has been Rashard Lewis, who is shooting 47.4 percent from the field and has made five threes in this series. The Heat now go home where they shoot 51.2 percent and average 104 points. The Miami Heat are 47-49-2 ATS overall and 24-24-1 ATS at home. 

The Spurs are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games playing on 1 days rest and 2-7 ATS in their last 9 road games. The Heat are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games. The home team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings between these two teams. 

I told you guys that the Heat were going to win this series, and I don't see them losing at home after just taking away home court from the Spurs. Remember, the Heat have yet to even play a great game in this series and could easily be up 2-0 if it weren't for the A/C nonsense. I'm not confident in the chalk due to how close these games tend to be, but I say pound the hell out of the Heat ML.

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