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Miami Heat vs. San Antonio Spurs - 6/12/14

San Antonio Spurs (62-20) at Miami Heat (54-28)

NBA Basketball: Thursday, June 12, 2014 at 9:00 pm (AmericanAirlines Arena)

The Line: Miami Heat -5.5 -- Over/Under: 197.5 See the Latest Odds


Lebron James and the Miami Heat look to even the series up in Game 4 of the NBA finals on Thursday night.

Head to head, the Heat are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. loss, 24-9 ATS in their last 33 games following a SU loss of more than 10 points and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home games. The Spurs on the other hand are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600 and 17-8 ATS in their last 25 NBA Championship games, but just 3-7 ATS in their last 10 road games.

You would be hard pressed to see the San Antonio Spurs defeating the Miami Heat in Game 4 tonight, which would result in a 3-1 series lead and all but secure the title that eluded them last season. While the Spurs were dynamic in their 111-92 victory over the Heat in Game 3 on Tuesday night, hitting 19 of their first 21 shots and shot a finals-record 75.8 percent in the first half, the Heat were probably the better team over the first two games of this series.

Also keep in mind that Miami is something like 13-0 after a playoff loss and that was their first defeat at home this postseason. And lets not forget that the Heat trailed the Spurs in last seasons NBA finals 2-1 and ending up winning in what was a great series. The only difference this time around is that the format has changed to 2-2-1-1-1 instead of 2-3-2.

Like I said at the start of the article, I expect Miami to bounce back at even the series at two games apiece heading back to San Antonio for Game 5. Having said that, I still think the Spurs will put up a hell of af fight and end up covering the number, but not by much...

Dan’s Pick: San Antonio +5.5

Follow me on Twitter @Dan_SCP

Miami Heat vs. San Antonio Spurs - 6/12/14


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