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San Antonio Spurs at Miami Heat NBA Final Prediction, Odds, Pick - 6/12/14 Game Four

San Antonio Spurs (62-20) at Miami Heat (54-28)

NBA Basketball: Thursday, June 12, 2014 at 9:00 pm (AmericanAirlines Arena)

The Line: Miami Heat -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds

TV: ABC

The Miami Heat and San Antonio Spurs will play game four on Thursday night. The Spurs lead the series, 2-1.

The Spurs had their performance of their life in game three, shooting 59.4 percent from the field and over 74 percent at the half. The Spurs simply couldn’t miss a shot and Kawhi Leonard led the way with 29 points. With the win, the Spurs improve to 12-2 SU in the playoffs when scoring more than 100 points. In the Spurs last five games, they’re averaging 109.2 points on 49.7 percent shooting and allowing 96.2 points on 47.2 percent shooting. Tim Duncan is shooting 64.5 percent from the field in this series, while Danny Green is shooting 63.6 percent from the field. The San Antonio Spurs are 56-47 ATS overall and 28-22 ATS on the road.

San Antonio Spurs at Miami Heat NBA Final Prediction, Odds, Pick - 6/12/14 Game Four

USA TODAY Sports

Despite the poor defensive performance from the Heat, they did shoot 51.6 percent from the field and received a combined 44 points from LeBron James and Dwayne Wade. However, the Heat are 0-4 SU in the playoffs when allowing more than 100 points, and they didn’t help themselves with 20 turnovers. In the Heat’s last five games, they’re averaging 98.4 points on 51 percent shooting and allowing 100.4 points on 50.7 percent shooting. One of the reasons for the Heat’s struggles starts with Mario Chalmers, who has scored 10 points in the series and is shooting just 25 percent from the field. The Heat are also getting 22.2 points from their bench, which is eight points shy of the league average. The Miami Heat are 48-50-2 ATS overall and 24-25-1 ATS at home. 

The Spurs are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games playing on 1 days rest and 18-7 ATS in their last 25 games following a ATS win. The Heat are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. loss and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home games. 

When the Heat actually want to contest shots and swarm to the ball, they give the Spurs fits. After the Spurs record-setting performance in the first half, they scored just 40 points in the second half. You have to believe the Heat will play with more energy from the start in game five and get the job done at home. After all, this is pretty much a must-win for the home team. 

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Miami Heat -5

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